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The State Of REITs: September 2025 Edition
Seeking Alphaยท 2025-09-16 19:17
REIT Performance Overview - REITs experienced a significant rebound in August with an average return of +5.48%, recovering most losses from the first seven months of the year [1] - The average REIT outperformed broader market indices, including the Dow Jones Industrial Average (+3.4%), S&P 500 (+2.0%), and NASDAQ (+1.7%) [1] - Year-to-date, the Vanguard Real Estate ETF (VNQ) has outperformed the average REIT, with returns of +5.65% compared to -1.11% for the average REIT [1] Performance by Market Capitalization - Small cap REITs (+7.52%) and mid cap REITs (+7.13%) outperformed large cap REITs (+3.16%) and micro cap REITs (+0.87%) in August [3] - Over the first eight months of 2025, large cap REITs have outperformed small caps by 186 basis points [3] Property Type Performance - 83.33% of REIT property types averaged positive returns in August, with a notable 22.34% total return spread between the best (Malls +12.70%) and worst (Infrastructure -9.64%) performing property types [5][6] - Health Care (+17.97%) and Casino REITs (+10.85%) showed strong performance over the first eight months of 2025, while Hotels (-11.28%) were the worst-performing property type [6][7] Price/FFO Multiples - The average P/FFO (2025Y) for the REIT sector rose from 13.7x to 14.5x in August, with 83% of property types experiencing multiple expansion [7] - Land (26.9x), Data Centers (25.9x), Multifamily (22.1x), and Single Family Housing (21.3x) currently trade at the highest average multiples among REIT property types [7] Individual Security Highlights - Plymouth Industrial REIT (PLYM) surged by +51.52% following an unsolicited acquisition proposal from Sixth Street Partners at $24.10/share [9] - Wheeler REIT (WHLR) was the worst-performing REIT in August with a return of -48.09%, and has seen a staggering -99.62% total return over the first eight months of 2025 [10] Dividend Yield Insights - High dividend yields are a significant attraction for investors in the REIT sector, with many REITs trading below their NAV, leading to attractive yield opportunities [14]