Core Viewpoint - The proposed merger between Akzo Nobel N.V. and Axalta Coating Systems Ltd. is viewed critically, with concerns about Axalta's decision to merge with a company that has a history of poor performance and value stagnation [1][2][3]. Company Performance - Axalta has demonstrated exceptional financial performance, maintaining adjusted EBITDA and adjusted EBITDA margin growth for 12 consecutive quarters [4]. - The company has a net leverage ratio of 2.5x, the lowest in its history, and plans to repurchase up to $250 million of its stock, deploying over 90% of its free cash flow to share repurchases this year [4]. - Axalta's revenue and operating income have shown fluctuations, with a notable decline in net income from €1,060 million in 2015 to €66 million in 2025 [5]. Valuation Concerns - The merger is perceived as a "sellout" of a well-performing business for a company (Akzo Nobel) that has historically underperformed, with earnings and adjusted earnings per share lower over one-, five-, and ten-year periods [2][3]. - The valuation of Akzo Nobel is questioned, as it is seen as a company with inferior assets and financial performance compared to Axalta [2][3]. Market Outlook - There is optimism regarding improved operating conditions in 2026, particularly in the Refinish demand environment in North America, as claims stabilize and destocking headwinds abate [4]. - Leading indicators for the Refinish market are starting to turn positive, suggesting a potential shift in market conditions [4].