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Can RBLX's Discovery Engine Power the Next Engagement Wave?
ZACKS· 2025-09-23 15:36
Core Insights - Roblox Corporation (RBLX) highlighted the effectiveness of its discovery engine, which significantly contributed to record engagement levels in Q2 2025, with 111.8 million daily active users, a 41% year-over-year increase, and 27.4 billion engagement hours, up 58% from the previous year [1][8] Engagement and Monetization - The discovery system has been crucial for driving cross-experience engagement, with over 75% of players of the viral game "Grow a Garden" engaging with at least one additional Roblox title on the same day, and more than half of the quarter's spending growth coming from experiences outside the top 10 rankings [2] - The company is refining discovery signals to enhance transparency for developers, focusing on maximizing long-term user value and supporting a healthier ecosystem through initiatives like sponsored tiles and the Creator Rewards program [3] Safety and Trust - Roblox is advancing its safety agenda with the rollout of RoGuard 1.0, an open-source toolkit for establishing guardrails around large language models, along with new privacy and screen-time controls, reflecting a commitment to maintaining trust while scaling engagement [4] Market Aspirations - Roblox aims to capture 10% of the $180 billion global gaming content market, positioning its discovery engine as a structural growth lever that extends engagement beyond a few viral titles and enables smaller developers to gain traction [5] Stock Performance and Valuation - Roblox shares have increased by 30.6% over the past three months, outperforming the industry average rise of 12.8%, while other industry players like Boyd Gaming, DraftKings, and Monarch Casino have seen gains of 7%, 2.4%, and 19.7%, respectively [6] - The stock is currently trading at a forward 12-month price-to-sales (P/S) multiple of 12.89X, significantly above the industry average of 3.28X, with competitors like Boyd Gaming, DraftKings, and Monarch Casino having P/S ratios of 1.85X, 3.04X, and 3.33X, respectively [9] Earnings Outlook - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Roblox's 2025 loss per share has widened from $1.36 to $1.71, indicating increased caution among analysts regarding the company's near-term earnings profile, with projections suggesting an 18.8% decline in 2025 earnings [11]
RBLX Leans on AI-Powered Tools: Catalyst for Long-Term Growth?
ZACKS· 2025-09-11 14:25
Core Insights - Roblox Corporation is heavily investing in artificial intelligence to drive sustained growth, reporting 111.8 million daily active users, a 41% increase year-over-year, and 27.4 billion hours of engagement in Q2 2025 [1][10] - The company's generative AI model, Cube 3D, has generated over 1 million models, facilitating easier content creation and lowering entry barriers for new developers [2][10] - AI enhancements are improving search, discovery, and personalization, which is crucial for connecting players with relevant content and ensuring broad-based creator monetization [3][10] - Roblox is also implementing safety innovations like RoGuard 1.0 to address trust and safety concerns, reinforcing its leadership in the user-generated gaming economy [4] - With a 51% increase in bookings and raised fiscal 2025 guidance, AI tools are becoming structural catalysts for Roblox's growth strategy [5] Competitive Landscape - Unity Software Inc. is a direct competitor, offering AI-assisted creation tools that enhance development cycles across various gaming platforms [6] - Electronic Arts Inc. is also exploring AI for game design and personalization, potentially enhancing player experiences in its major franchises [7] Financial Performance - Roblox's stock has increased by 39.7% over the past three months, outperforming the industry average rise of 18.3% [8] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Roblox's 2025 loss per share has widened from $1.38 to $1.71, indicating increased caution among analysts regarding the company's near-term earnings [11] - Currently, Roblox is trading at a forward price-to-sales multiple of 12.59X, significantly above the industry average of 3.29X [12]