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LendingClub's Investor Day Shows Why The Stock is Still A Screaming Bargain
The Motley Fool· 2025-11-24 08:15
Core Viewpoint - LendingClub is positioned as both the best-performing and lowest-valued fintech in the market, with strong third-quarter earnings and plans for rebranding in the upcoming year [1] Financial Performance - LendingClub reported a 37% growth in originations last quarter, which, while not the fastest in the industry, is characterized by superior quality, generating more revenue and profit per loan compared to peers [3][4] - The company aims for a 20% to 30% annual growth in originations moving forward, indicating minimal deceleration in growth [4] Medium-Term Financial Targets - LendingClub anticipates reaching $18 billion to $22 billion in annual originations, up from a current annualized run rate of $10 billion, and expects bank assets to rise to approximately $20 billion from $11 billion [5] - The company projects an increase in return on equity from 13% to between 18% and 20% over the medium term [6] Growth Strategies - Management expects an incremental $5 billion to $8 billion in personal loan originations, primarily from credit card debt consolidation, which constitutes about 82% of its current borrower base [7][8] - LendingClub plans to enter the $500 billion home improvement market, partnering with Wisetack and acquiring technology from the bankrupt startup Mosaic to facilitate this expansion [10][11] Additional Growth Areas - The company also has a small auto loan business and a secured business lending segment, expecting these combined originations to grow by another $1 billion over the medium term, contributing to a total originations growth target of $8 billion to $12 billion [12] Efficiency and Cost Control - LendingClub aims to increase returns on assets through higher retained loans, expanding net interest margins, and improved loan sale prices as interest rates stabilize [13][14] - The company has built strong cost control measures, expecting operating costs to grow more slowly than revenue, which will further enhance return on equity [15] Valuation and Market Position - If LendingClub achieves its medium-term targets, it could reach $450 million in earnings, with a market cap of $1.85 billion, suggesting the stock is trading at just over four times projected 2028 earnings [17][18] - The company has initiated its first share repurchase program of $100 million to leverage its undervalued stock [18]