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This Magnificent Semiconductor Stock Has Shot Up 60% in 3 Months. It Can Still Soar Higher.
The Motley Foolยท 2025-07-12 08:45
Core Viewpoint - Lam Research has experienced a significant stock price increase of 60% over the past three months, outperforming the Nasdaq Composite index's 31% returns, while still trading at attractive levels [1][2]. Company Performance - Lam Research's revenue for fiscal 2025 is projected to be $18.3 billion, representing a 23% increase year-over-year, with earnings per share expected to rise by 33% to $4.01 [5][6]. - Despite a 9% decline in revenue from the Chinese market, which previously accounted for over 43% of its top line, Lam has achieved healthy growth [5][6][7]. Industry Dynamics - The semiconductor industry is witnessing aggressive investments in manufacturing capacity, with Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) planning to increase its capital expenditure to $40 billion in 2025, a $10 billion increase from the previous year [9]. - The demand for advanced chips is expected to drive semiconductor industry capital expenditures to $194 billion by 2030 and $705 billion by 2035, with an estimated $1 trillion investment in new plants through 2030 [10]. Valuation and Growth Potential - Lam Research is currently trading at 27 times earnings, with a forward earnings multiple of 23, indicating it is undervalued compared to the Nasdaq-100 index's average earnings multiple of 32 [13]. - If Lam achieves earnings of $4.75 per share in the next fiscal year and trades in line with the Nasdaq-100's earnings multiple, its stock price could potentially increase by 52% to $152 [14].