Shacks (Shake Shack restaurants)
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Shake Shack Releases Preliminary FY25 Results, Sets 2026 Growth Path
ZACKS· 2026-01-13 15:11
Core Insights - Shake Shack Inc. reported preliminary financial results for Q4 and fiscal year 2025, showing resilient performance despite macroeconomic challenges and food inflation, with shares rising 3.7% following the announcement [2][3]. Fiscal 2025 Results - Total revenues for fiscal 2025 reached $1.45 billion, with Q4 revenues at $400.5 million, slightly below the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $407 million [3]. - Same-Shack sales increased by 2.3% for the fiscal year and 2.1% in Q4, supported by positive traffic trends despite adverse weather conditions in the Northeast [4]. - Restaurant-level profit margins remained healthy in the mid-22% range for both the quarter and the full year, attributed to operational improvements and cost controls [5]. - Adjusted EBITDA is projected to be between $208 million and $212 million, with net income expected to be between $50 million and $60 million, indicating balanced growth [5]. Expansion and Demand Drivers - The company opened 45 company-operated Shacks and 40 licensed locations in fiscal 2025, ending the year with 373 company-operated restaurants [6]. - Management highlighted strong demand drivers, including menu innovation, value-focused digital promotions, and increased media investments [6]. Fiscal 2026 Guidance - For fiscal 2026, Shake Shack expects total revenues of $1.6 billion to $1.7 billion, with licensing revenues projected at $59 million to $61 million, aligning with the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.65 billion [7]. - Same-Shack sales are anticipated to grow at a low-single-digit rate, while restaurant-level margins are expected to expand to 23% to 23.5% [7]. - The company plans to open 55-60 company-operated Shacks and 40-45 licensed locations in 2026, supported by a robust development pipeline [8]. Long-Term Outlook - Shake Shack reiterated its long-term goals, targeting over 1,500 company-operated Shacks, low-teens revenue and unit growth, and at least 50 basis points of annual margin expansion through fiscal 2027 [9]. - The preliminary results and guidance suggest the company is entering a phase of profitable scale with improving margins and clear visibility into long-term growth [9].