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Shake Shack: Bigger Bites, Bigger Challenges
Seeking Alpha· 2025-01-24 13:15
Is Shake Shack (NYSE: SHAK ) biting off more than it can chew? Well, the answer is pretty tough. However, it seems that after releasing its preliminary results for the fourthI am an Equity Analyst and Accountant specializing in restaurant stocks, with a solid foundation in Business Administration and Accounting, complemented by an MBA in Forensic Accounting and Controllership. As the founder of Goulart's Restaurant Stocks, I lead a company focused on analyzing restaurant stocks in the U.S. market. Our cover ...
Shake Shack Reports Q4 Preliminary Results, Provides FY2025 View
ZACKS· 2025-01-14 17:00
Shake Shack Inc. (SHAK) released its preliminary financial results for the fourth quarter and fiscal year ended Dec. 25, 2024, showcasing notable progress.SHAK’s Q4 Preliminary ResultsShake Shack ended fiscal 2024 with total revenues of $1.3 billion, including $328.7 million in the fourth quarter. Shack sales contributed $1.2 billion for the year, while licensing revenues accounted for $45 million. System-wide sales reached $1.9 billion in fiscal 2024, with fourth-quarter system-wide sales totaling $500.7 m ...
Shake Shack(SHAK) - 2024 Q4 - Annual Results
2025-01-13 12:06
Revenue and Sales Performance - Total revenue for 4Q24 was $328.7 million, and $1.3 billion for FY24, with Shack sales contributing $316.6 million in 4Q24 and $1.2 billion in FY24[2] - Same-Shack sales grew by 4.3% in 4Q24 and 3.6% in FY24 compared to 2023[2] - System-wide sales for 4Q24 were $500.7 million and $1.9 billion for FY24[2] - Licensing revenue for 4Q24 was $12.1 million and $45.0 million for FY24[2] Profitability and Margins - Restaurant-level profit margin reached 22.7% in 4Q24, the highest fourth quarter level since 2017, and 21.4% in FY24[2] - Adjusted EBITDA grew by 48% year-over-year in 4Q24, reaching $46.5 million, and $175.4 million for FY24[9] - For FY2025, the company expects total revenue growth of 16%-18%, restaurant-level profit margin of approximately 22%, and Adjusted EBITDA growth of 14%-20%[1] - The company's three-year financial growth targets include low-teens percentage growth in total revenue and system-wide unit growth, with restaurant-level profit margin at least approximately 22%[9] Expansion and Growth Targets - The company opened 43 new Company-operated Shacks in FY24, including 19 in 4Q24, and 33 new licensed Shacks, with 9 opened in 4Q24[9] - The company updated its long-term target for Company-operated Shacks to at least 1,500, up from the previous target of 450[5]
Shake Shack (SHAK) Upgraded to Buy: What Does It Mean for the Stock?
ZACKS· 2024-12-12 18:01
Shake Shack (SHAK) could be a solid addition to your portfolio given its recent upgrade to a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy). An upward trend in earnings estimates -- one of the most powerful forces impacting stock prices -- has triggered this rating change.The Zacks rating relies solely on a company's changing earnings picture. It tracks EPS estimates for the current and following years from the sell-side analysts covering the stock through a consensus measure -- the Zacks Consensus Estimate.Since a changing earnings ...
Shake Shack Stock Rises 27% in Three Months: Is it a Good Time to Buy?
ZACKS· 2024-11-27 17:00
Shares of Shake Shack Inc. (SHAK) have rallied 26.7% in the past three months, significantly outperforming the 7.8% growth registered by the Zacks Retail - Restaurants industry. SHAK also outpaced the broader Retail-Wholesale sector and the S&P 500 index's 14.8% and 7.8% growth, respectively, during the same period.The company is benefiting from strong same-shack sales, digital initiatives and unit expansion efforts. Also, focus on strategic promotions and effective marketing campaigns, along with menu inno ...
Shake Shack: Proving Premium Is 'Worth It' In Fast Food's Exodus
Seeking Alpha· 2024-11-19 12:01
The ' Fast Food Exodus ' is real, and everything we're seeing in the LSR landscape has something to do with it. While some cry, others sell handkerchiefs. ShakeI'm an Equity Analyst and Accountant specializing in restaurant stocks, with a strong foundation in Business Administration and Accounting, complemented by an MBA in Forensic Accounting and Controllership. As the founder of Goulart's Restaurant Stocks, I lead a company focused on analyzing restaurant stocks in the U.S. market. Our coverage spans mult ...
Like Cava Group Stock? You Might Love This Restaurant Stock Even More.
The Motley Fool· 2024-11-14 10:07
Shake Shack is still a growth stock, and it offers a lot of potential upside.Cava Group (CAVA 1.57%) has been one of the hottest restaurant stocks to own this year. As of Nov. 12, the stock is up a mammoth 237%, wildly outperforming the S&P 500, which is by no means having a bad year with its year-to-date gain of 25%.However, investors may be concerned the stock is approaching its peak with a valuation that's just too rich. Cava trades at nearly 300 times its projected fiscal 2025 earnings (based on analyst ...
Shake Shack: Operational Excellence Is Shining Through
Seeking Alpha· 2024-11-04 21:54
Despite broad fears that the U.S. economy may be slipping into a potential recession amid slowing consumer spending, Shake Shack (NYSE: SHAK ) has shown us that people are still eating out: at least onWith combined experience of covering technology companies on Wall Street and working in Silicon Valley, and serving as an outside adviser to several seed-round startups, Gary Alexander has exposure to many of the themes shaping the industry today. He has been a regular contributor on Seeking Alpha since 2017. ...
Why Investors Were Gorging on Shake Shack Stock This Week
The Motley Fool· 2024-11-01 22:05
Investors and analysts alike cheered the company's trailing-three-month performance.This week's news from hamburger slinger Shake Shack (SHAK 2.00%) was overwhelmingly positive -- hence the stock's double-digit gain over the past five trading days. According to data compiled by S&P Global Market Intelligence, it ended the week more than 12% higher in price. The major impetus to this gain was the company's latest set of quarterly results, accompanied by several analysts' target price raises.Shaking up a big ...
Shake Shack(SHAK) - 2024 Q3 - Quarterly Report
2024-10-31 20:07
Sales Performance - Same-Shack sales increased by 2.3% for the thirteen weeks ended September 27, 2023, driven by a 6.5% increase in price mix partially offset by a 4.2% decrease in guest traffic[128] - Average weekly sales were $74,000 for the thirteen weeks ended September 27, 2023, compared to $73,000 in the same period last year, primarily driven by higher menu prices[129] - System-wide sales increased by 24.3% to $438.9 million for the thirteen weeks ended September 27, 2023, compared to the same period last year[130] - Digital sales increased by 5.4% to $83.2 million for the thirteen weeks ended September 27, 2023, representing 31.4% of total Shack sales[130] - Same-Shack sales at suburban Shacks increased by 3.7% while urban Shacks increased by 1.0% for the thirteen weeks ended September 27, 2023[128] - Average weekly sales decreased by 3.9% compared to the thirteen weeks ended June 28, 2023, driven by a decline in guest traffic[129] - Digital sales decreased by 4.3% compared to the thirteen weeks ended June 28, 2023[130] - System-wide sales increased by 2.9% compared to the thirteen weeks ended June 28, 2023[130] - Shack sales for the thirteen weeks ended September 27, 2023 increased 20.7% to $265.0 million, driven by the opening of 48 new domestic Company-operated Shacks and increased menu prices[137] - Licensing revenue for the thirteen weeks ended September 27, 2023 increased 35.1% to $11.2 million, primarily due to the opening of 45 net new licensed Shacks and higher sales at existing licensed Shacks[139] - Licensing revenue for the thirty-nine weeks ended September 27, 2023 increased 33.8% to $30.2 million, driven by the opening of 45 net new licensed Shacks and higher sales at existing licensed Shacks[139] Revenue and Profitability - Total revenue for the thirteen weeks ended September 27, 2023 increased to $276.2 million, with Shack sales accounting for 95.9% of total revenue[134] - Net income attributable to Shake Shack Inc. for the thirteen weeks ended September 27, 2023 was $7.6 million, compared to a net loss of $2.0 million in the same period last year[134] - Total revenue for the thirty-nine weeks ended September 27, 2023 increased to $801.3 million, with Shack sales accounting for 96.2% of total revenue[134] - Shack-level operating profit for the thirteen weeks ended September 27, 2023 was $54.0 million, representing a 20.4% margin, compared to $36.1 million and a 16.4% margin in the same period last year[179] - Shack-level operating profit for the thirty-nine weeks ended September 27, 2023 was $153.6 million, representing a 19.9% margin, compared to $108.5 million and a 17.0% margin in the same period last year[179] - Total revenue for the thirteen weeks ended September 27, 2023 was $276.2 million, compared to $227.8 million in the same period last year[179] - Total revenue for the thirty-nine weeks ended September 27, 2023 was $801.3 million, compared to $661.9 million in the same period last year[179] - Net income for the thirteen weeks ended September 27, 2023 was $8.136 million, compared to a net loss of $2.311 million for the same period in 2022[185] - Adjusted EBITDA for the thirteen weeks ended September 27, 2023 was $35.784 million, representing a 13.0% margin, compared to $19.807 million and an 8.7% margin for the same period in 2022[185] - Total revenue for the thirteen weeks ended September 27, 2023 was $276.2 million, compared to $227.8 million for the same period in 2022[185] - Adjusted pro forma net income for the thirteen weeks ended September 27, 2023 was $7.537 million, compared to a net loss of $2.322 million for the same period in 2022[194] - Adjusted pro forma earnings per fully exchanged and diluted share for the thirteen weeks ended September 27, 2023 was $0.17, compared to a loss of $0.06 per share for the same period in 2022[195] Costs and Expenses - Food and paper costs for the thirteen weeks ended September 27, 2023 increased 13.9% to $77.2 million, primarily due to the opening of 48 new domestic Company-operated Shacks[141] - Labor and related expenses for the thirteen weeks ended September 27, 2023 increased 17.9% to $76.2 million, primarily due to the opening of 48 new domestic Company-operated Shacks[144] - Food and paper costs as a percentage of Shack sales decreased to 29.1% for the thirteen weeks ended September 27, 2023, driven by menu price increases partially offset by increased commodity costs[142] - Labor and related expenses as a percentage of Shack sales decreased to 28.8% for the thirteen weeks ended September 27, 2023, primarily due to labor efficiencies and sales leverage[145] - Other operating expenses for the thirteen weeks ended September 27, 2023 increased 10.8% to $37.3 million, driven by higher facilities costs and transaction costs due to the opening of 48 new domestic Company-operated Shacks[147] - Occupancy and related expenses for the thirteen weeks ended September 27, 2023 increased 17.1% to $20.3 million, primarily due to the opening of 48 new domestic Company-operated Shacks[150] - General and administrative expenses for the thirteen weeks ended September 27, 2023 increased 14.9% to $30.9 million, driven by increased wages, marketing, and technology investments[153] - Depreciation and amortization expense for the thirteen weeks ended September 27, 2023 increased 24.0% to $23.1 million, due to incremental depreciation from new Shacks and technology projects[156] - Pre-opening costs for the thirteen weeks ended September 27, 2023 increased 63.4% to $5.0 million, driven by wages, legal costs, and travel expenses related to Shack openings[159] - Impairment and loss on disposal of assets for the thirteen weeks ended September 27, 2023 decreased 16.9% to $0.5 million, due to fewer abandoned construction projects[162] Cash Flow and Financial Position - Cash and cash equivalents as of September 27, 2023 was $190.0 million, compared to $256.998 million as of September 28, 2022[203] - Net cash provided by operating activities for the thirty-nine weeks ended September 27, 2023 was $90.591 million, compared to $54.335 million for the same period in 2022[203] - Net cash used in investing activities for the thirty-nine weeks ended September 27, 2023 was $126.264 million, compared to $95.212 million for the same period in 2022[203] - Net cash used in financing activities for the thirty-nine weeks ended September 27, 2023 was $4.825 million, compared to $4.529 million for the same period in 2022[203] - The company believes its existing cash and cash equivalents balances and cash from operations will be sufficient to fund its operating and finance lease obligations, capital expenditures, Tax Receivable Agreement obligations and working capital needs for at least the next 12 months and the foreseeable future[201] - Net cash provided by operating activities increased by $36.3 million to $90.6 million for the thirty-nine weeks ended September 27, 2023, compared to $54.3 million for the same period in 2022[204] - Net cash used in investing activities increased by $31.1 million to $126.3 million for the thirty-nine weeks ended September 27, 2023, primarily due to a $94.0 million purchase of held-to-maturity debt securities and an $18.2 million increase in capital expenditures[205] - Net cash used in financing activities increased by $0.3 million to $4.8 million for the thirty-nine weeks ended September 27, 2023, driven by higher withholding taxes related to equity awards[206] Debt and Financing - The company issued $250.0 million in 0% Convertible Senior Notes due 2028, which can be converted into cash, shares of Class A common stock, or a combination of both[207] - The Revolving Credit Facility was amended to modify the benchmark interest rate, with no amounts outstanding as of September 27, 2023[208] - The Revolving Credit Facility is secured by a first-priority security interest in substantially all assets of SSE Holdings and its guarantors[209] - Material contractual obligations include operating and finance lease obligations, long-term debt, and liabilities under the Tax Receivable Agreement[210] - Purchase obligations primarily consist of real estate and facility commitments, inventory purchases, and marketing-related contracts, with most due within the next 12 months[212] - The company remains in compliance with all covenants under the Revolving Credit Facility as of September 27, 2023[209] Other Income and Expenses - Other income, net for the thirteen weeks ended September 27, 2023 increased 132.2% to $3.4 million, primarily due to higher interest income from cash equivalents[164] - Interest expense for the thirteen weeks ended September 27, 2023 decreased by 8.8% to $0.4 million compared to the same period last year[166] - Interest expense for the thirty-nine weeks ended September 27, 2023 increased by 8.4% to $1.2 million compared to the same period last year[166] - Income tax expense for the thirteen weeks ended September 27, 2023 was $0.5 million, compared to a benefit of $1.5 million in the same period last year, representing a 135.1% change[169] - Income tax expense for the thirty-nine weeks ended September 27, 2023 was $1.7 million, compared to a benefit of $5.1 million in the same period last year, representing a 134.2% change[169] - Net income attributable to non-controlling interests for the thirteen weeks ended September 27, 2023 improved to $0.5 million from a loss of $0.3 million in the same period last year[172] - Net income attributable to non-controlling interests for the thirty-nine weeks ended September 27, 2023 improved to $0.7 million from a loss of $1.5 million in the same period last year[172] Store Operations and Expansion - The company opened 10 new domestic Company-operated Shacks, 4 new domestic licensed Shacks, and 11 new international licensed Shacks during the third quarter of 2023[131] - As of September 27, 2023, there were 495 Shacks in operation system-wide, including 280 domestic Company-operated Shacks, 39 domestic licensed Shacks, and 176 international licensed Shacks[127] Accounting and Risk Management - No significant changes to critical accounting policies or market risk exposure were reported compared to the previous fiscal year[213][215]