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Is SoundHound Stock a Buy, Sell or Hold at a P/E Multiple of 26.1X?
ZACKS· 2025-09-04 14:41
Core Insights - SoundHound AI (SOUN) is currently trading at a forward 12-month price-to-sales (P/S) multiple of 26.1X, significantly higher than its three-year median of 13.9X and the industry average [1][9] - The company's stock has shown strong momentum, rallying 34.6% over the past three months, while the industry has declined by 8.7% [4] - Despite impressive revenue growth of 217% year-over-year in Q2, the company continues to face ongoing losses, raising questions about the sustainability of its current valuation [2][12] Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, SoundHound reported revenues of $42.7 million, exceeding analyst expectations, but GAAP loss widened to $74.7 million due to a $31 million non-cash acquisition expense [12][9] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2025 earnings has improved, with projected loss per share narrowing to 13 cents from 16 cents [13] - The company raised its 2025 sales outlook to $160-$178 million, reflecting confidence in its growth pipeline [29] Market Position and Growth Drivers - SoundHound's enterprise segment is expanding across various industries, with significant customer renewals and upsells, indicating strong customer retention [19] - The restaurant vertical is a key growth area, with over 14,000 active locations and partnerships with major brands like IHOP and Chipotle [21] - The automotive sector remains a long-term revenue driver, with new deals expected to generate significant unit shipments globally [24] Challenges and Risks - Despite revenue growth, margin pressures persist, with GAAP gross margin declining to 39% in Q2 due to lower initial margins from acquired contracts [26] - Operating expenses have risen significantly, with R&D up 64%, sales and marketing up 180%, and G&A up 91%, contributing to a negative adjusted EBITDA [27] - The competitive landscape in the quick-service restaurant sector includes strong rivals like Amazon and Alphabet, which could limit SoundHound's market share [23] Balance Sheet and Outlook - SoundHound ended Q2 with $230 million in cash and no debt, providing flexibility for growth investments [29] - The company aims for adjusted EBITDA profitability by late 2025, but execution challenges remain [30] - The current premium valuation at 26.1X P/S suggests caution for new investors, while existing investors may benefit from long-term AI adoption trends [31][32]
SoundHound to Post Q2 Earnings: Buy, Sell or Hold the Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-08-05 18:51
Core Viewpoint - SoundHound AI (SOUN) is set to report its second-quarter 2025 results on August 7, with expectations of significant revenue growth driven by strong enterprise momentum and AI adoption across various sectors [1][9]. Financial Performance - In the last reported quarter, SoundHound achieved revenues of $29.13 million, reflecting a 151% year-over-year increase, although it missed expectations by 3.6% due to a customer undergoing a change of control [2]. - The company reported a non-GAAP net loss per share of 6 cents, an improvement from a loss of 7 cents in the previous year, with a non-GAAP gross margin of 51%, down from prior levels due to recent acquisitions [2]. - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for the upcoming quarter remains unchanged at a loss of 6 cents per share, with expected revenues of $33.03 million, indicating a 145.4% year-over-year increase [5]. Growth Projections - For 2025, SoundHound is projected to see a 91.1% increase in revenues, with an expected loss of 16 cents per share compared to a loss of $1.04 the previous year [6]. - Management anticipates that the first half of 2025 will account for approximately 40% of the full-year revenue, reaffirming full-year guidance of $157 to $177 million [11]. Market Position and Competition - SoundHound faces significant competition from major players like Alphabet Inc. and Baidu, which have established strong positions in the voice AI market [19][20]. - Despite having a technical edge in real-time responsiveness and speech recognition, the competitive landscape is challenging as these giants continue to innovate [21]. Valuation and Stock Performance - SoundHound's shares are currently considered overvalued, trading at a forward 12-month price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of 22.32, higher than the industry average of 17.53 [22]. - SOUN shares have gained 21.1% over the past three months, outperforming the Zacks Computers - IT Services industry [16]. Strategic Focus - The company is focusing on diversifying revenue contributions, with significant growth expected from restaurant deployments and high-margin AI solutions [13]. - Management expects gradual improvement in gross margins throughout 2025, aiming to return to pre-acquisition levels of over 70% [14]. - Adjusted EBITDA is projected to improve sequentially, with a goal of achieving adjusted EBITDA profitability by year-end 2025 [15].