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Bloomberg· 2025-09-26 04:14
Solar panel installations in China slowed again in August to hit the lowest since late 2022, as producers turned to overseas markets amid sluggish domestic demand https://t.co/PcwjTIuXgB ...
美国光伏产业仍存发展空间
Qi Huo Ri Bao Wang· 2025-05-20 03:34
Core Insights - The U.S. photovoltaic (PV) industry is experiencing growth driven by increased electricity demand from artificial intelligence (AI) applications, indicating ongoing development potential [1][9][17] Group 1: Industry Growth and Projections - The U.S. solar industry is expected to add nearly 50 GW of new installations in 2024, representing a 21% increase from 2023 [8] - By 2025, the U.S. is projected to achieve self-sufficiency in solar module production and new installations, although significant import demand for battery cells will persist [11][12] - Solar power is anticipated to contribute 66% of new electricity generation in 2024, marking the highest share since 2018 [8][9] Group 2: Supply Chain and Import Dynamics - The U.S. solar supply chain is primarily focused on downstream activities, with significant growth in module manufacturing capacity expected to rise from 14.5 GW in 2023 to 42.1 GW in 2024 [11] - Despite the increase in domestic module production, the U.S. will still rely on imports for battery cells, with a projected shortfall of approximately 37 GW in battery capacity by 2025 [12] - In 2024, over 80% of U.S. solar module imports are expected to come from Southeast Asia, with significant contributions from Vietnam, Thailand, Malaysia, and Cambodia [15][16] Group 3: Challenges and Future Outlook - The demand for electricity in the U.S. is projected to grow from 4,300 TWh in 2024 to 4,600 TWh by 2030, driven by new data centers, factories, and residential developments [9] - The U.S. Department of Commerce is set to finalize anti-dumping and countervailing duties on solar products from Southeast Asia, which may impact import dynamics and pricing [16][17] - The reliance on imports for battery cells is expected to shift towards countries like Laos and Indonesia due to the imposition of tariffs on products from certain Southeast Asian nations [16][17]