Core Insights - Daqo New Energy (DQ) is expected to report a year-over-year increase in earnings despite lower revenues for the quarter ended September 2025, with a consensus outlook indicating a quarterly loss of $0.61 per share, reflecting a 33.7% improvement year-over-year [1][3] - Revenues are projected to be $162.3 million, down 18.2% from the same quarter last year [3] Earnings Expectations - The earnings report is anticipated to be released on October 27, and the stock may rise if the results exceed expectations, while a miss could lead to a decline [2] - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 17.24% higher in the last 30 days, indicating a reassessment by analysts [4] Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model shows that the Most Accurate Estimate for Daqo matches the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of 0%, making it challenging to predict an earnings beat [12] - Daqo currently holds a Zacks Rank of 3, which does not strongly indicate a likelihood of beating the consensus EPS estimate [12] Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Daqo was expected to post a loss of $1.16 per share but actually reported a loss of $1.14, resulting in a surprise of +1.72% [13] - Over the past four quarters, Daqo has only beaten consensus EPS estimates once [14] Industry Comparison - Another company in the Zacks Chemical - Specialty industry, Minerals Technologies (MTX), is expected to report earnings of $1.47 per share, indicating a year-over-year change of -2.7%, with revenues projected at $532 million, up 1.4% [18][19] - The consensus EPS estimate for Minerals Technologies has been revised 1.4% lower in the last 30 days, leading to an Earnings ESP of -1.02% and a Zacks Rank of 4, indicating difficulty in predicting an earnings beat [19][20]

Group 1: Earnings Performance - Daqo New Energy reported a quarterly loss of $1.07 per share, which was worse than the Zacks Consensus Estimate of a loss of $1.02, and a significant decline from earnings of $0.24 per share a year ago, indicating an earnings surprise of -4.90% [1] - The company posted revenues of $123.91 million for the quarter ended March 2025, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 36.13%, and a substantial decrease from year-ago revenues of $415.31 million [2] - Daqo has not surpassed consensus EPS estimates over the last four quarters, and its shares have lost about 23.8% since the beginning of the year, compared to a decline of -6% for the S&P 500 [3][2] Group 2: Future Outlook - The company's earnings outlook will be crucial for determining the stock's immediate price movement, with current consensus EPS estimates at -$0.90 on $207.1 million in revenues for the coming quarter and -$2.27 on $933.37 million in revenues for the current fiscal year [4][7] - The estimate revisions trend for Daqo is currently unfavorable, resulting in a Zacks Rank 5 (Strong Sell), indicating expected underperformance in the near future [6] - The outlook for the Chemical - Specialty industry, where Daqo operates, is in the bottom 40% of Zacks industries, which may negatively impact the stock's performance [8]