Group 1: Insurance Sector - Insurance stocks are experiencing significant declines, with China Life (02628) down 3.75%, New China Life (01336) down 3.28%, and China Pacific Insurance (02601) down 2.74%. The government plans to issue approximately 200 billion yuan in special bonds to inject capital into major insurance companies, marking the first time this method will be used for insurance firms in China [1] Group 2: Logistics and Delivery - ZTO Express (02057) has seen an increase of over 2.3%. The company estimates that its total revenue for 2025 will be between 48.5 billion yuan and 50 billion yuan, representing a growth of approximately 9.5% to 12.9% compared to 44.2807 billion yuan in 2024 [1] Group 3: Biotechnology - Innovent Biologics (09969) has risen over 4%, with a current increase of 3.25%. The company anticipates achieving revenue of 2.37 billion yuan in 2025, a year-on-year growth of approximately 134%, and expects to turn a profit with a net profit of around 630 million yuan [1] Group 4: Coal Sector - Coal stocks are generally declining, with Yancoal Australia (03668) down 6.63%, Shougang Resources (00639) down 7.83%, and China Shenhua (01088) down 2.47%. This decline follows reports that the Indonesian government has proposed a production cut plan, leading to a 40% to 70% reduction in production quotas for major miners [2] Group 5: Medical Devices - GigaGen (02367) has increased over 8%, currently up 4.11%. The company recently announced that its "recombinant type I α1 collagen and sodium hyaluronate composite solution" has been approved as a medical device, marking a significant milestone as the first product of its kind for improving facial smoothness [2] Group 6: Semiconductor Sector - Semiconductor stocks are all declining, with Hua Hong Semiconductor (01347) down 5.91% and SMIC (00981) down 3.49%. This follows a significant drop in AMD's stock price by 17.31% after its fourth-quarter report indicated that while revenue exceeded expectations, the guidance for the first quarter was below market expectations [3] Group 7: Restaurant Sector - Restaurant stocks are performing well, with Yum China (09987) up 8.41% and Haidilao (06862) up 2.69%. The restaurant industry has shown signs of recovery, with retail sales in the sector growing by 3.8%, 3.2%, and 2.2% year-on-year in the last quarter of 2025, significantly outpacing overall retail growth [3] Group 8: Consumer Goods - Miniso (09896) has risen over 5.1% after announcing its partnership with the Central Radio and Television Station for the 2026 Spring Festival Gala. This collaboration is seen as a significant marketing move to elevate the brand's visibility in the mainstream market [4] Group 9: Gold Sector - Gold stocks are declining, with China Gold International (02099) down 6.8% and Zijin Mining (02899) down 6.29%. Recent volatility in the international gold market has been noted, with expectations that geopolitical tensions and liquidity easing by the Federal Reserve may drive gold prices higher [4] Group 10: Cryptocurrency - Cryptocurrency ETFs and related stocks are continuing to decline, with significant drops in prices, including Bitcoin falling below $72,000 for the first time in 15 months. The price has decreased by over 42% from its peak last October [5] Group 11: US Market Highlights - Boston Scientific (BSX.US) fell 17.59% after providing lower-than-expected guidance for fiscal year 2026. The company expects adjusted earnings per share to be between $3.43 and $3.49, slightly below analyst expectations [6] - Solar stocks surged, with Enphase Energy (ENPH.US) rising 38.6% following reports of interest from Elon Musk's teams in the Chinese solar supply chain [6]

智通财经APP获悉，周三，光伏太阳能股全线冲高，Enphase Energy(ENPH.US)暴涨近36%，晶科能源 (JKS.US)涨超16%，Sunrun(RUN.US)涨超9%，阿特斯太阳能(CSIQ.US)、大全新能源(DQ.US)涨超4%。 消息面上，据报道，马斯克团队近期"摸底"中国光伏产业链 ，已有异质结设备厂签单。据知情人士 称，近期马斯克旗下的SPACE X团队和Tesla团队"摸底"中国光伏企业，其中TESLA团队目前仅是验厂 阶段，到访多家产业链企业;SPACE X团队主要到访光伏设备厂，并与国内某头部异质结设备厂有订单 合作，但基于商业保密要求等因素，未作公开。有企业人士表示，目前能整线供应异质结设备的企业较 少，此前马斯克团队曾向国内某异质结企业稳定采购，且合作还在持续。 ...

美股三大指数集体收跌，道指跌0.34%，纳指跌1.43%，标普500指数跌0.83%，热门科技股普跌，博通跌超3%，微软、英伟达、Meta跌超2%。稀土概念、有 色金属、贵金属涨幅居前，黄金资源涨超20%，南方铜业涨超11%，美洲白银公司涨超8%，泛美白银涨超5%。应用软件、加密货币、减肥药概念股跌幅居 前，诺和诺德跌超14%，Coinbase、Circle跌超4%，礼来、辉瑞跌超3%。沃尔玛收涨2.94%，市值首次突破1万亿美元大关。 纳斯达克中国金龙指数收跌0.94%，热门中概股里，大全新能源收跌5.6%，B站跌4%，金山云跌3.5%，阿里巴巴跌2.9%，百度、携程、Boss直聘、贝壳跌超 2%，蔚来涨0.8%，小马智行涨2%，华住涨2.2%，新东方涨2.3%，理想涨2.7%，阿特斯涨4.1%，小鹏涨4.3%。 ...

Top Wall Street analysts changed their outlook on these top names. For a complete view of all analyst rating changes, including upgrades, downgrades and initiations, please see our analyst ratings page.Considering buying VERX stock? Here’s what analysts think: Photo via Shutterstock ...

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - **Sector**: Global Alternative Energy - **Outlook**: Improved investor sentiment driven by increased policy certainty in the US and global electricity load growth [2][7] Core Insights - **Load Growth**: - Load growth has been stagnant at approximately 0.5% annually over the past decade, but estimates have recently risen to around 2% or higher for the next five years due to AI-driven data center demand and broader electrification trends [5][6] - This growth is expected to exert upward pressure on power pricing, benefiting baseload power sources such as gas turbines, nuclear, and renewables paired with battery energy storage systems (BESS) [5][6] - **Policy Environment**: - Increased clarity in US renewable energy policy through the passage of significant legislation, though risks remain, including potential investigations and tariff decisions that could impact solar costs [5][6] - The Department of Commerce's investigations and permitting issues for solar and wind projects on federal land present uncertainties [6] Investment Preferences - **Top Picks in Clean Energy**: - **US**: GE Vernova (GEV), Brookfield Renewable (BEP/BEPC), NextPower (NXT), and EVgo (EVGO) [2][12][19] - **Europe**: Siemens Energy (ENR), Vestas (VWS), and Prysmian (PRY) [2][15][17] - **Asia**: Orient Cables (603606 CH), Daqo (DQ), GCL Tech (3800 HK), Arctech (688408 CH), and Sungrow (300274 CH) [2] Market Dynamics - **Solar Market**: - Preference for utility-scale solar over residential due to better positioning regarding policy and economic factors [7] - In China, polysilicon prices have recovered by approximately 50% due to policy interventions, with Daqo and GCL Tech highlighted as strong picks [20] - **Wind Market**: - BNEF forecasts significant growth in global wind installations, with a projected 16% growth in 2026 [17] - Vestas is expected to outperform the European Capital Goods sector due to stable input prices and lower interest rates [17] - **Energy Storage**: - Global energy storage demand exceeded expectations in 2025, with a forecasted 57% increase in battery shipments for 2025 [7] - The forecast for 2026 global ESS installations has been raised by approximately 30% [7] - **Electric Vehicle Charging**: - Sentiment around EV charging remains cautious, with anticipated declines in US EV sales [7] - EVgo is preferred due to its growing customer base and network throughput potential [19] Additional Insights - **Nuclear Fuel Cycle**: - Global nuclear generation is expected to reach record highs, increasing demand for enriched uranium [8] - Centrus Energy (LEU) is noted as a key player, though it faces execution risks [8] - **US Clean Energy Outlook**: - BNEF anticipates a decline in US clean energy build from 2026 to 2028 before returning to modest growth through 2035 [62] - The market is expected to consolidate as larger projects become more complex, favoring tier-1 developers [63] - **Residential Solar Market**: - A projected decline of 15-20% in US residential solar installations in 2026 due to the expiration of certain tax credits [64] - RUN is highlighted as a preferred pick in the residential space due to its visibility in solar lease/PPA qualifications [65] Conclusion - The global alternative energy sector is poised for growth driven by load demand and supportive policies, though challenges remain in the form of regulatory uncertainties and market dynamics. Key investment opportunities exist in diversified companies with strong balance sheets and exposure to emerging technologies.

J P M O R G A N Asia Pacific Equity Research 19 January 2026 China Solar Anti-Involution Key takes from expert and co calls: Uncertainty on timing but not direction; value emerges as -ves get priced in We hosted a solar industry expert call and gathered comments from polysilicon producers last week, with the following takes: 1) The SAMR's probe was triggered by complaints. Poly future price surges after the formation of 'consolidation platform'; 2) consolidated views from expert and companies are +ve bias o ...

Group 1 - The stock price of Daqo New Energy (DQ.US) has experienced a significant decline of 30%, dropping from a peak of $36.59 to $25.59 over the past three months, reflecting market sentiment regarding the "photovoltaic industry storage" initiative [1] - The company's stock price surged by 153.97% over six months, driven by expectations of a "storage joint venture" aimed at eliminating approximately 1 million tons of outdated capacity in the photovoltaic sector [1] - The recent regulatory decision to halt "self-discipline" operations in the photovoltaic industry and the cancellation of export VAT rebates from April 1, 2025, have contributed to the recent stock price decline [2] Group 2 - Following the release of Daqo's Q3 financial results, the stock exhibited a "M-shaped" volatility pattern, indicating fluctuating market sentiment influenced by various news [2][4] - Daqo's Q3 financial performance showed a positive operating cash flow of 55.52 million yuan, marking the first positive cash flow since Q4 2023, suggesting initial success in addressing industry "internal competition" [4] - Despite a brief stock price increase after the Q3 report, trading volume was significantly lower than previous levels, indicating a cautious market sentiment among investors [4][6] Group 3 - The stock price has been on a downward trend, with market sentiment continuing to deteriorate, as evidenced by low trading volumes and a lack of buying interest [6][7] - On January 8, the stock dropped by 11.41% due to rumors of regulatory scrutiny regarding potential monopolistic practices in the photovoltaic industry [7] - Following the announcement of the 2025 earnings forecast, which indicated a net loss of 1 to 1.3 billion yuan, the stock price showed initial volatility but stabilized towards the end of the trading day [8]

Core Viewpoint - Daqo New Energy Corp. announced an estimated net loss for its subsidiary Xinjiang Daqo New Energy for the fiscal year 2025, indicating a significant reduction in losses compared to the previous year [1][2]. Financial Performance - Xinjiang Daqo estimates its net loss for FY2025 to be between RMB1.0 billion and RMB1.3 billion, a decrease from a net loss of RMB2.7 billion in FY2024 [2]. - The estimated net loss is based on preliminary information and is subject to change upon completion of the internal financial closing process [3][4]. Company Overview - Daqo New Energy Corp. is a leading manufacturer of high-purity polysilicon for the global solar photovoltaic (PV) industry, with a total polysilicon nameplate capacity of 305,000 metric tons [5]. - The company holds approximately 72.8% equity interest in Xinjiang Daqo, which contributes the majority of its revenue and net income [3].

Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley's report indicates that the National Market Supervision Administration's statement regarding the China Photovoltaic Industry Association's proposal to establish a consolidation fund and allocate industry production quotas violates antitrust laws, which negatively impacts the industry's anti-involution initiative. However, the bank views this event as an adjustment rather than a reversal due to China's push against "involution" [1][5]. Group 1 - The report anticipates multiple potential outcomes, including government agencies managing production quotas or higher-level departments setting conditions for quota exemptions [1][5]. - In the worst-case scenario, there could be chaotic involution consolidation within the industry [1][5]. - Companies with significant net cash reserves, such as Daqo New Energy (DQ.US), and the lowest cash cost producer, GCL-Poly Energy (03800), are expected to emerge as the ultimate winners in this situation [1][5]. Group 2 - Morgan Stanley maintains an "overweight" rating on Daqo New Energy with a target price of $38 and on GCL-Poly Energy with a target price of HKD 1.7 [1][5].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is that the proposal by the China Photovoltaic Industry Association to establish a consolidation fund and allocate industry production quotas is seen as a violation of antitrust laws, which may negatively impact stock prices, but is viewed as an adjustment rather than a reversal of the "anti-involution" initiative promoted by China [1] - Morgan Stanley anticipates multiple potential outcomes, including government intervention in managing production quotas or higher-level departments setting conditions for quota exemptions [1] - In the worst-case scenario, there could be chaotic involution consolidation, but companies with significant net cash reserves, such as Daqo New Energy (DQ.US) and low-cost producer GCL-Poly Energy (03800), are expected to emerge as winners in this situation [1] Group 2 - Morgan Stanley maintains an "overweight" rating on Daqo New Energy with a target price of $38 and on GCL-Poly Energy with a target price of HKD 1.7 [1]