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A Safe, Boring Dividend For 26% Returns (Again!) In 2026
Forbes· 2026-01-15 15:31
Company Overview - Archer-Daniels Midland (ADM) is positioned as a resilient company that generates consistent cash flow regardless of economic conditions, making it a safe investment choice for 2026 [4][5] - The company has delivered a total return of 26% over the past year, showcasing its ability to provide dividends and price gains even in a volatile market [5][12] Market Dynamics - The agricultural market operates in predictable cycles, with corn and soybean prices currently at a cyclical low, presenting a buying opportunity for ADM [7] - The global population growth and increasing wealth in developing nations are driving demand for protein, which in turn increases the need for corn and soy meal as feed [8][9] Business Strategy - ADM is expected to benefit from a proposed Renewable Fuel Standard rule by the EPA that could increase demand for corn and soybeans, thereby improving profit margins [10] - The company is implementing cost-cutting measures aimed at reducing annual costs by $500 to $700 million over the next three to five years, which will enhance future profit per share [11] Shareholder Value - ADM has been actively repurchasing its own shares, reducing the share count by 14% over the past five years, which increases earnings per share even if total earnings remain flat [12] - The company is also recognized as a "Dividend King," having raised its dividend for over 50 consecutive years, indicating strong financial health and commitment to returning value to shareholders [14]