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History Says the Nasdaq Will Surge in 2026. 1 Potential Stock-Split Stock to Buy Before It Does.
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-12 17:02
Core Insights - Netflix has achieved significant milestones with "KPop Demon Hunters" becoming its most-watched animated film and the first soundtrack to have four simultaneous top-10 songs on the Billboard Hot 100 [1] - The company is forecasting continued growth, with projected third-quarter revenue of $11.5 billion, representing a 17% increase, and EPS of $6.87, which would be a 27% rise [2] - In Q2, Netflix reported revenue of $11 billion, a 16% increase, and EPS of $7.19, up 47%, driven by subscription price hikes, strong subscriber growth, and increasing ad revenue [3] Financial Performance - Netflix's stock has surged over 1,000% in the past decade, significantly outperforming the Nasdaq's 280% gains, indicating strong market performance [4] - The Nasdaq Composite index has risen 43% in 2023, 29% in 2024, and 18% in 2025, suggesting a favorable environment for Netflix's continued growth [6] - The company has not conducted a stock split in over a decade, with its current stock price at $1,191, making it one of the priciest stocks on the Nasdaq [7][11] Content and Events - Netflix has a strong content lineup for the second half of the year, including the successful second season of "Wednesday" and the highly anticipated finale of "Stranger Things" [8] - The company is also capitalizing on live events, with the Terence Crawford vs. Canelo Alvarez boxing match attracting over 41 million views, and plans to stream two NFL games on Christmas Day 2025 [9] Advertising Growth - The advertising tier has become a significant growth driver, accounting for 55% of new subscribers where offered, with a 30% quarter-over-quarter increase in users for the Standard with Ads tier [10] Stock Split Considerations - There is speculation about a potential stock split, as the company has a history of splits and the current high stock price may warrant one [12][13] - Historically, companies that conduct stock splits see an average return of 25% in the year following the announcement, which is more than double the S&P 500's average return [13] Valuation - Netflix's expected 2026 earnings valuation stands at roughly 37 times, which may seem high, but the company's consistent growth suggests it could be justified [14]