Summary of Jiangsu Zhongtian Technology Co. Ltd. Conference Call Company Overview - **Company Name**: Jiangsu Zhongtian Technology Co. Ltd. (600522.SS) - **Industry**: Utilities, specifically focusing on optical fiber, power transmission, and marine systems Key Points and Arguments Price Target and Valuation - The price target has been raised by 21.3% from Rmb24.27 to Rmb29.45, indicating a positive outlook for the company [1] - The company is currently trading at an appealing P/E of 17.1x for 2026 estimates, compared to a historical peak of 29.1x over the past five years [5][19] - The new price target implies a P/E of 22.9x for 2026 estimates, with a PEG ratio of approximately 0.5x [5] Optical Fiber Market Dynamics - Jiangsu Zhongtian Technology (ZTT) is positioned as a direct beneficiary of the optical fiber upcycle, with spot prices for optical fiber increasing significantly since Q4 2025, driven by demand from AI data centers and supply constraints [2] - The company expects elevated prices to persist through 2026, with normalization anticipated in 2027 [2] - ZTT is operating near full capacity of approximately 90 million core-km, with a 40% export mix [2] Offshore Wind Development - Anticipated acceleration in both domestic and overseas offshore wind projects, particularly in China and Europe [3] - In China, a breakthrough in offshore deep-sea development is expected during the 15th Five-Year Plan, with projected installations of 15-20GW annually from 2027 to 2030 [3] - ZTT has a substantial order backlog of Rmb3.2 billion for subsea cables, with full delivery expected by 2027 [3] Power Transmission Growth - China's confirmed grid capex plan and an export surge are expected to fuel growth in power transmission [4] - ZTT's power transmission revenue is forecasted to grow by 15% annually from 2026 to 2027 [4] - The company aims to increase its export mix of land cables to 25-30% in the coming years, up from the current 17-18% [4] Financial Projections - Revenue for the optical information and communication segment is projected to grow by 25% YoY in 2026, reaching Rmb10 billion [5] - Earnings are expected to increase by 43.8% YoY in 2026, reaching Rmb4.4 billion, with a product mix of 35% optical I&C, 35% marine systems, and 30% power transmission [5] - The company has revised its revenue forecasts for 2026 and 2027 upwards by 1.9% each, now expecting Rmb61.3 billion and Rmb67.7 billion respectively [32] Risks and Opportunities - Risks include slower-than-expected revenue growth in the optical I&C segment and subpar order intakes in overseas markets [31] - Opportunities arise from the growth of submarine cable demand due to offshore wind power capacity expansion [26] Consensus and Analyst Ratings - The consensus rating for ZTT is overwhelmingly "Overweight" with no "Equal-weight" or "Underweight" ratings [20] - Institutional ownership stands at 85.2%, indicating strong confidence from institutional investors [29] Additional Important Information - The company is expected to benefit from favorable structural tailwinds across its segments, particularly in optical fiber demand and power transmission growth [11][18] - The financial summary indicates a robust growth trajectory with significant increases in net profit and revenue across the forecasted years [9][33]

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The focus is on China's wind supply chain, which includes wind turbines and cables, showing a positive outlook despite a recent 24% rally in major stocks [1][2][3]. Core Insights and Arguments 1. **Earnings Recovery**: Earnings are recovering from a low base due to resilient wind installation demand, recovering turbine prices, and an increasing share of high-margin segments such as high-voltage cables and offshore wind [1][2]. 2. **Wind Project Bidding Volume**: In the first nine months of 2025, total wind project winning bid volume reached approximately 130GW, a 6% year-over-year increase, with domestic volume at 108GW [2]. 3. **Offshore Wind Growth**: The overseas bidding volume surged by 166% year-over-year, accounting for over 17% of total volume, indicating strong momentum in international markets [2]. 4. **Price Trends**: Onshore wind turbine bidding prices rose by 14% year-over-year in Q3 2025, reflecting firm pricing in the market [2][26]. 5. **Policy Support**: The upcoming 15th Five-Year Plan is expected to provide further support for wind and solar capacity targets, aiming for 3,600 GW by 2035 [3]. Company-Specific Insights Cables 1. **Preference for Cables**: The analysis favors cable companies (Zhongtian and Ningbo Orient) over turbine manufacturers due to more attractive valuations, with Zhongtian expected to see better growth prospects in its optical cable business [4][41]. 2. **Earnings Adjustments**: Earnings for Zhongtian and Ningbo Orient have been lifted by an average of 9% for 2026-27, reflecting higher subsea cable margins [4][34]. Turbines 1. **Earnings Growth**: Goldwind and Mingyang's earnings for 2026-27 have been increased by 8% and 13% respectively, driven by better overseas and offshore wind growth [5]. 2. **Market Position**: Goldwind leads the domestic onshore wind turbine bidding with a 19% market share, while Envision leads overseas with a 37% market share [12][14]. Financial Metrics and Valuations 1. **Valuation Comparisons**: Cable providers are trading at 12-26x 2026E PE, with Ningbo Orient trading at a premium but still below its historical average [33][41]. 2. **Earnings Estimates**: New earnings estimates for Zhongtian Tech for 2025-27E are RMB 3,121 million, RMB 4,073 million, and RMB 5,070 million respectively, reflecting a 9% average increase [34][35]. Additional Important Insights 1. **High-Margin Segments**: The growing share of high-margin businesses, particularly in offshore wind projects, is a significant driver for future earnings [3][4]. 2. **Future Projects**: A total of 38.5GW of offshore projects are expected to be connected in 2025-26, indicating robust future growth in the sector [31]. This summary encapsulates the key points from the conference call, highlighting the positive outlook for the wind supply chain in China, the recovery in earnings, and the strategic positioning of key companies within the industry.