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Land & Buildings Issues Letter Detailing Why Now Is the Time to Finally Unlock Six Flags' Substantial Trapped Real Estate Value
Businesswire· 2025-09-26 11:00
Core Viewpoint - Land & Buildings Investment Management believes that monetizing Six Flags' real estate while simultaneously driving an operational turnaround could significantly increase the company's share price, potentially unlocking up to $6 billion in real estate value [1][3]. Group 1: Current Financial Situation - Six Flags' stock has dropped over 50% year-to-date, trading at a low EBITDA multiple of 7x due to merger challenges and poor weather conditions [2]. - The company is currently experiencing record short interest, indicating negative market sentiment [2]. Group 2: Strategic Recommendations - The company sees a generational opportunity to invest in Six Flags before a potential re-rating, emphasizing the importance of monetizing real estate to deliver immediate shareholder gains while allowing for operational recovery [3]. - A separation of the real estate and operating business (OpCo/PropCo) could unlock substantial value, with estimates suggesting a potential 75% upside based on 2026 consensus estimates [6]. Group 3: Historical Engagement and Performance - Previous engagement by Land & Buildings in December 2022 highlighted a potential 50% upside through real estate monetization, which led to a 45% increase in shares shortly after [4]. - Following the August 2023 engagement, the company noted that shares were trading at a 12.5% EBITDA yield, while real estate could trade at a 7.5-8% yield, indicating a significant valuation gap [5]. Group 4: Valuation Insights - The estimated net asset value per share is $39.26, compared to the current share price of $22.11, indicating a potential 78% upside [9]. - The real estate value is estimated at approximately $5.67 billion, with a significant portion of the real estate being REIT-able [9]. Group 5: Future Outlook - The company believes that the issues affecting earnings are mostly self-inflicted and transitory, suggesting a clear path for improved performance in the coming year [8]. - There is potential for multiple bidders interested in acquiring Six Flags' real estate, which could further enhance shareholder value [10].