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Can Lululemon Stock Recover?
The Motley Fool· 2026-03-21 07:35
Core Insights - Lululemon Athletica has experienced a decline in stock performance since its peak in December 2023, with current revenue growth primarily driven by international expansion despite pressure on gross margins from tariffs [1][6]. Company Performance - The company reported a 1% year-over-year increase in overall revenue for the fourth quarter, reaching $3.64 billion, surpassing the consensus estimate of $3.58 billion [5]. - Adjusted earnings per share (EPS) fell by 18% to $5.01, but exceeded the consensus of $4.78 [5]. - North American revenue decreased by 4%, with comparable-store sales down by 1%, while international revenue increased by 17%, with same-store sales up by 20% [6]. - Revenue from China surged by 28%, with same-store sales rising by 26% [6]. - Gross margin decreased by 550 basis points to 54.9%, impacted by tariffs and higher markdowns, with expectations of a further decline of 120 basis points in the current fiscal year [6]. Future Outlook - Lululemon forecasts sales between $11.35 billion and $11.5 billion for the upcoming fiscal year, indicating growth of 2% to 4%, and adjusted EPS in the range of $12.10 to $12.30 [7]. - For the fiscal first quarter, projected sales are between $2.4 billion and $2.43 billion, with adjusted EPS between $1.63 and $1.68, reflecting a sales increase of 1% to 3% [7]. Leadership and Strategy - The company is currently without a CEO following the announcement of the previous CEO's departure, which raises concerns about long-term strategic direction [2]. - Current executives are focusing on innovation with new products and expanding international markets, particularly in China, while increasing influencer and brand ambassador marketing efforts [3].