Core Thesis - The Clorox Company is viewed positively due to its strong market position and potential for recovery, despite recent operational challenges [1][6] Valuation and Financial Metrics - Clorox shares were trading at $109.70 with trailing and forward P/E ratios of 17.08 and 18.05 respectively [1] - The stock is currently valued at decade-low levels of 16 times depressed forward earnings, presenting a potential upside of 30-40% alongside a 4.78% dividend yield [3] - The intrinsic value is estimated to be between $134 and $145 per share based on discounted cash flow and peer comparisons, with downside risk limited to the mid-$90s [5] Operational Challenges - The company faced a significant setback due to a $580 million ERP implementation that led to supply chain disruptions and a 17% decline in organic sales, causing the stock price to drop from $150 to around $104 [3][4] - Despite these challenges, the underlying business remains robust, with no permanent market share losses and a recovery in fill rates to 92% expected by March 2026 [4] Market Position and Competitive Advantages - Clorox holds a dominant position in essential product categories, including a 61% market share in bleach and significant shares in trash bags and charcoal [4] - The company benefits from strong retailer relationships, co-owned clay mines, and advantageous manufacturing locations, which support high gross margins and operating margins in the high teens [4] Recovery Outlook - Management anticipates full normalization of operations by March 2026, with expected annual cost savings of $75-100 million from the ERP implementation [4] - The balance sheet remains solid with a net debt/EBITDA ratio of 2.0, ensuring dividend continuity [5]