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The Best AI Semiconductor Stock to Buy for 2026, According to Certain Wall Street Analysts (Hint: Not Nvidia or Broadcom)
The Motley Foolยท 2026-01-01 08:15
Group 1: Micron Technology - Morgan Stanley analysts have selected Micron Technology as their top semiconductor pick for 2026, highlighting its potential in the ongoing AI buildout and the current DRAM and NAND shortage [1][17] - Micron develops memory and storage solutions, including DRAM and NAND products, which are crucial for AI workloads [14][15] - Although Micron is not the market leader in DRAM or NAND, it is gaining market share, particularly with a 10 percentage point increase in HBM market share over the past year [16][17] - Wall Street expects Micron's earnings to grow at 48% annually over the next three years, making its current valuation of 28 times earnings appear attractive [17] Group 2: Nvidia - Nvidia is recognized for its leading graphics processing units (GPUs) and a full-stack strategy that includes hardware and software development tools [4][6] - The company dominates the AI accelerator space with over 80% market share and is expected to maintain this dominance due to its low total cost of ownership (TCO) [8][7] - Nvidia's earnings are projected to grow at 37% annually over the next three years, with a median target price of $250 per share, indicating a 33% upside from its current price of $187 [9][8] Group 3: Broadcom - Broadcom plays a significant role in the AI supply chain, holding 80% market share in high-speed Ethernet switching and routing chips, with a projected market growth of 20% to 30% annually [10] - The company is also a leading supplier of custom AI accelerators, with a market share of 70% to 80%, and has major customers including Google and OpenAI [11] - Wall Street estimates Broadcom's adjusted earnings will grow at 36% annually over the next three years, making its current valuation of 51 times earnings look appealing [13]