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PepsiCo Stock Gains 4% in a Month: Is It a Smart Buy or One to Watch?
ZACKS· 2025-12-11 18:11
Core Insights - PepsiCo Inc. has experienced significant growth, with shares increasing by 3.8% in the past month, driven by strong business momentum across key segments [1][10] - The company reported healthy net revenue growth in Q3 2025, primarily due to the North America beverage business and demand for innovative products [1][10] - PepsiCo's performance has outpaced the broader Beverages – Soft Drinks industry and the Consumer Staples sector [3] Business Performance - The North America beverage segment has shown strong growth, particularly with Trademark Pepsi and innovations like Pepsi Zero Sugar and poppi [11] - International operations have maintained steady organic growth, with strong performance in key regions such as Latin America and Europe [12] - Cost-optimization initiatives have improved operating margins, contributing to overall performance [2][13] Competitive Positioning - PepsiCo's stock has outperformed competitors like Coca-Cola and Primo Brands, which have seen declines in the past month [7] - The current share price of $149.70 is 6.5% below its 52-week high, indicating potential for upside [8] - PepsiCo's P/E ratio of 16.92X is below the industry average and its major competitors, suggesting a potentially attractive valuation [18] Future Outlook - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for PepsiCo's 2025 EPS has increased slightly, while the estimate for 2026 has decreased [15] - The company is positioned for sustained organic growth and margin improvement through recent acquisitions and portfolio reshaping [14] - Despite near-term uncertainties, the company's fundamentals are gradually strengthening, making it a potential buy for investors [19][20]
Can PepsiCo Achieve Its Mid-Teens PBNA Margin Ambition by 2026?
ZACKS· 2025-12-01 18:31
Core Insights - PepsiCo Beverages North America (PBNA) is a crucial segment for PepsiCo, encompassing a wide range of beverage categories and contributing significantly to brand equity and profitability [1] Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, PBNA achieved 2% year-over-year organic revenue growth, despite a three-point volume decline due to the transition of its case-pack water business [2][9] - Trademark Pepsi saw volume and net revenue increases, driven by Pepsi Zero Sugar and effective marketing campaigns [2] - Retail sales for poppi grew over 50% year-to-date, while Propel is on track to exceed $1 billion in annual retail sales [3] Strategic Initiatives - PepsiCo is focusing on expanding zero-sugar offerings and scaling functional innovations, such as protein-infused beverages, while enhancing its presence in away-from-home channels [4] - The company has reduced over 35% of SKUs since 2022 to streamline operations and improve market execution [4][9] Margin Goals - PBNA is on a credible path to achieve its mid-teens operating margin target by 2026, supported by ongoing innovation and cost efficiency measures [5] - Execution risks remain, particularly concerning inflation and consumer price sensitivity, but current trends indicate significant progress [5] Competitive Landscape - Coca-Cola and Monster Beverage are also pursuing aggressive growth targets, with Coca-Cola showing strong organic revenue growth and Monster achieving 16.8% net sales growth [6][7] Valuation Metrics - PepsiCo shares have declined by 2.2% year-to-date, contrasting with the industry growth of 8.9% [8] - The forward price-to-earnings ratio for PepsiCo is 17.42X, below the industry average of 18.2X [10] Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for PepsiCo's 2025 earnings suggests a slight decline of 0.7%, while 2026 estimates indicate a growth of 5.9% [12]
PepsiCo Jumps 3.7% After Q3 Earnings: Rally Justified or Overdone?
ZACKS· 2025-10-13 18:46
Core Insights - PepsiCo Inc. (PEP) shares increased by 3.7% following a stronger-than-expected Q3 2025 earnings report, driven by solid pricing gains and resilient demand, raising questions about the sustainability of this rally [1][9] - The company's earnings and revenues surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate, indicating strong performance [1][9] Financial Performance - PepsiCo's Q3 performance was bolstered by steady momentum in its North America beverage business and growth in international markets, with net revenues rising by 3% [2][12] - The company has seen a 10.7% stock rally over the past three months, outperforming the broader industry, which declined by 1.7% [3][9] - PepsiCo's stock price is currently $150.08, which is 15.4% below its 52-week high of $177.50 and 17.6% above its 52-week low of $127.60 [8] Competitive Positioning - PepsiCo's performance has outpaced competitors like The Coca-Cola Company (KO) and Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP), which have seen declines of 3.5% and 22.3%, respectively, over the past three months [4] - Despite this, PepsiCo's shares have underperformed compared to Monster Beverage Corporation (MNST), which rallied by 16.7% in the same period [4] Growth Drivers - The company's growth is attributed to balanced performance across beverages, snacks, and international markets, with significant contributions from Trademark Pepsi and Pepsi Zero Sugar [12][13] - PepsiCo's international segment achieved its 18th consecutive quarter of mid-single-digit organic revenue growth, particularly strong in markets like Brazil, the U.K., Türkiye, and China [12] Future Outlook - Management remains optimistic about sustaining growth momentum, expecting continued resilience in international business and improving profitability in North America [14] - For fiscal 2025, PepsiCo reaffirmed guidance for low-single-digit organic revenue growth and flat year-over-year core constant-currency EPS [15] Valuation Metrics - PepsiCo's forward 12-month P/E ratio is 17.79X, slightly above the industry average of 17.73X but below the S&P 500's average of 22.93X [18][19] - The stock's valuation is lower than competitors like Coca-Cola and Monster Beverage, which have higher P/E ratios of 21.21X and 33.29X, respectively [19] Analyst Sentiment - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for PepsiCo's 2025 and 2026 EPS has been revised upward by 0.6% and 0.4%, respectively, indicating growing analyst confidence in the company's growth potential [16] - The current setup presents an appealing opportunity for investors, supported by steady fundamentals, favorable estimate trends, and reasonable valuation [20][23]