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Amazon Lands $38B Deal With OpenAI: 3 Signs to Buy the Stock Now
ZACKSยท 2025-11-05 17:41
Core Insights - Amazon has secured a $38 billion multi-year partnership with OpenAI, reinforcing its leadership in cloud computing and artificial intelligence [1][8] - The partnership allows OpenAI to access extensive AI infrastructure through AWS, enhancing Amazon's competitive position in the cloud market [2] - Amazon's Q3 2025 performance showed a 20% year-over-year revenue increase for AWS, reaching $33 billion, the fastest growth since 2022 [3][8] AWS Leadership and Infrastructure - AWS operates large-scale AI infrastructure with over 500,000 chips, a capability unmatched by most competitors [2] - OpenAI will utilize advanced NVIDIA GPUs via Amazon EC2 UltraServers, with deployment expected to complete by the end of 2026 [2] Financial Performance - Amazon's total revenues for Q3 2025 reached $180.2 billion, with earnings per share of $1.95, exceeding consensus estimates [4] - North America sales increased by 11% to $106 billion, while international sales rose by 14% [4] - The advertising segment grew by 24% to $17.7 billion [4] Capital Expenditure and Growth Potential - Amazon raised its capital expenditure forecast to $125 billion for 2025, indicating confidence in future growth [5] - AWS generates 35% operating margins, contributing significantly to Amazon's overall profitability despite representing only 17% of net sales [5] Future Guidance - Fourth-quarter revenue guidance is projected between $206 billion and $213 billion, suggesting 10% to 13% year-over-year growth [6] - Operating income guidance ranges from $21 billion to $26 billion, reflecting improved operational efficiency [6] Strategic Diversification - Amazon's AI innovations enhance its retail operations, with same-day grocery delivery expanding to over 1,000 U.S. cities [7] - The AI shopping assistant Rufus has attracted 250 million users, increasing purchase likelihood by 60% [7] Competitive Landscape - Amazon's stock has gained approximately 33.8% over the past six months, but lags behind competitors like Alphabet and Oracle [11] - The OpenAI partnership positions Amazon favorably against competitors in the AI space, addressing earlier investor concerns [15] Valuation Considerations - Amazon's price-to-earnings ratio is approximately 32.46x, above the industry average of 25.75x, indicating potential for multiple expansion [16] - The valuation premium reflects Amazon's market leadership, while the discount to historical norms suggests market skepticism [17] Conclusion - The combination of AWS growth, the OpenAI partnership, strong fourth-quarter guidance, and improved retail operations presents a compelling investment opportunity for Amazon [20]