Tranium 2.5
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Marvell 对比 Broadcom 对比 Alchip 对比 GUC —— 关于 ASIC 投资的最新动态 --- Marvell vs. Broadcom vs. Alchip vs. GUC – Update on ASIC Plays
2025-11-10 03:34
Summary of ASIC Industry Update Industry Overview - The document provides an update on the ASIC (Application-Specific Integrated Circuit) projects of major North American hyperscaler companies, including AWS, Microsoft, Meta, Google, OpenAI, Apple, and TikTok [2][3] Key Companies and Their ASIC Projects AWS (Amazon Web Services) - **Tranium 2 Chip**: Expected to reach its end phase in Q4 2025, with a transitional chip, Tranium 2.5, to be produced in Q4 2025 and Q1 2026. Marvell is expected to ship approximately 200,000 units per quarter [4][3] - **Tranium 3 Chip**: Forecasted production volume of around 2.5 million units, with potential allocation of up to 500,000 units to Marvell if Tranium 2.5 production is successful [8][9] - **Tranium 4 Chip**: Designed by Annapurna and Alchip, expected to start mass production in Q4 2027 [9][10] Microsoft - **Cobalt 200 CPU and MAIA 200 Sphinx**: Designed by GUC, with MAIA 300 Griffin facing challenges in its development with Marvell. Microsoft may shift to Broadcom if confidence in Marvell wanes [14][16] - **MAIA 200 and MAIA 300**: Part of the second-generation ASIC accelerator series, with the contract with Marvell expiring in H1 2026 [15][16] Meta - **ASIC Roadmap**: Includes multiple generations of chips, with the first-generation inference chip, Artemis, already in mass production. The second-generation training chip, Athena, is set for Q4 2023, and the third-generation chip, Iris, is planned for Q3 2024 [17][18] - **Arke Chip**: A simplified inference-only chip designed by Broadcom and Marvell, expected to help Meta keep pace with NVIDIA's chip iterations [19][20] Google - **TPU Development**: The first-generation ASIC Server CPU, Axion, is designed by Marvell, while the second-generation, Tamar, is designed by GUC. Google expects to produce about 4 million TPUs in 2026, with significant internal use [22][24] - **Demand Surge for Optical Modules**: Due to the increase in TPU production, demand for 1.6T optical modules is expected to rise dramatically from 3 million units in 2025 to 20 million in 2026 [25][26] OpenAI - **Titan 1 and Titan 2 Chips**: Broadcom is developing these chips, with expected shipments of 300,000 units in 2026 and at least 600,000 units in 2027 [28][29] - **Collaboration with ARM**: OpenAI is also working with ARM on ASIC projects, indicating a dual approach to chip development [30][31] Apple - **ASIC Projects**: Apple is customizing two ASIC chips, with mass production not expected before 2027 [32][33] TikTok - **Neptune Chip**: After negotiations, TikTok is expected to resume mass production of its ASIC chip in Q1 2026, with an anticipated production volume of 500,000 units [34][35] GUC (Global Unichip Corp) - **Controversial Position**: GUC is involved in the production of Google's Tamar CPU but is also engaged in more profitable projects like Tesla's AI5 chip, which could generate significant revenue in 2027 [41][43] Additional Insights - The document highlights the competitive landscape among major players in the ASIC market, with companies like Marvell, GUC, and Broadcom playing crucial roles in the design and production of these chips [41][42] - The anticipated growth in demand for ASIC chips, particularly in the context of AI and machine learning applications, suggests a robust market outlook for the coming years [25][26] This summary encapsulates the key developments and projections within the ASIC industry, focusing on the major players and their respective projects.