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TRMB Surges 15% in a Year: How Should You Approach the Stock in 2026?
ZACKS· 2026-01-12 17:42
Core Insights - Trimble (TRMB) shares have increased by 14.7% over the past year, slightly outperforming the Zacks Manufacturing – General Industrial industry's return of 14.4, driven by an expanding portfolio and strong growth in recurring revenue streams, particularly in AECO and Field Systems segments [1][10] Revenue Growth and Earnings Estimates - For Q4 2025, Trimble anticipates revenues between $927 million and $967 million, with non-GAAP earnings expected to range from 91 to 99 cents per share. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Q4 2025 net sales is $947.6 million, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of 3.6%, while the earnings consensus is 96 cents per share, indicating a year-over-year increase of 7.8% [7] - For the full year 2025, Trimble expects revenues to be between $3.545 billion and $3.585 billion, with non-GAAP earnings projected at $3.04 to $3.12 per share. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2025 net sales is $3.57 billion, suggesting a 3.2% decline from 2024, while the earnings consensus is $3.09 per share, indicating an 8.4% year-over-year appreciation [8] Strategic Initiatives - The company's "Connect & Scale" strategy has been a significant growth driver, focusing on transforming workflows and delivering innovative solutions, particularly in construction, geospatial, and transportation markets [2] - In the Transportation segment, the Connect & Scale strategy has led to an Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) of $501 million, growing by 7% year-over-year in Q3 2025, despite challenges in the freight market. This strategy has also unlocked cross-sell and upsell opportunities estimated at $400 million [3][10] Technological Advancements - Trimble's collaboration with Lucid Motors has resulted in the integration of Trimble RTX and ProPoint Go technology, enabling the Lucid Gravity EV to achieve centimeter-level accuracy in navigation, even in challenging environments [5][4]