Core Viewpoint - Wall Street anticipates a year-over-year decline in earnings for Deckers despite higher revenues, with a focus on how actual results will compare to estimates impacting stock price [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - Deckers is expected to report quarterly earnings of $0.68 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of 9.3%, while revenues are projected to be $899.21 million, an increase of 9% from the previous year [3]. - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 0.15% over the last 30 days, indicating a reassessment by analysts [4]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model shows a positive Earnings ESP of +6.45% for Deckers, suggesting analysts have recently become more optimistic about the company's earnings prospects [12]. - However, Deckers currently holds a Zacks Rank of 4, complicating predictions of an earnings beat [12]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Deckers exceeded expectations by delivering earnings of $1.00 per share against an expected $0.57, resulting in a surprise of +75.44% [13]. - Over the past four quarters, Deckers has consistently beaten consensus EPS estimates [14]. Conclusion - While Deckers may not appear to be a strong candidate for an earnings beat, it is essential to consider other factors influencing stock performance ahead of the earnings release [17].

Company Performance - Deckers (DECK) closed at $110.91, reflecting a +1.55% change from the previous day, outperforming the S&P 500's daily gain of 0.09% [1] - Over the past month, Deckers' shares declined by 9.79%, underperforming the Retail-Wholesale sector's gain of 6.31% and the S&P 500's gain of 7.21% [1] Upcoming Earnings - Deckers is expected to report earnings of $0.67 per share, indicating a year-over-year decline of 10.67%, while revenue is projected to be $899.01 million, representing an 8.92% increase compared to the same quarter last year [2] - For the full year, earnings are projected at $6.12 per share and revenue at $5.36 billion, showing changes of -3.32% and +7.61% respectively from the previous year [3] Analyst Estimates and Valuation - The Zacks Consensus EPS estimate has decreased by 5.3% over the past month, and Deckers currently holds a Zacks Rank of 4 (Sell) [5] - Deckers has a Forward P/E ratio of 17.86, which is a premium compared to the industry's average Forward P/E of 17 [5] - The company has a PEG ratio of 6.57, significantly higher than the Retail - Apparel and Shoes industry's average PEG ratio of 1.94 [6] Industry Context - The Retail - Apparel and Shoes industry ranks in the bottom 30% of all industries, with a current Zacks Industry Rank of 173 [6] - The Zacks Industry Rank measures the strength of industry groups, indicating that the top 50% rated industries outperform the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1 [7]

Wall Street expects a year-over-year decline in earnings on higher revenues when Deckers (DECK) reports results for the quarter ended March 2025. While this widely-known consensus outlook is important in gauging the company's earnings picture, a powerful factor that could impact its near-term stock price is how the actual results compare to these estimates.The stock might move higher if these key numbers top expectations in the upcoming earnings report, which is expected to be released on May 22. On the oth ...

Core Insights - Deckers (DECK) is positioned to potentially continue its earnings-beat streak, particularly in the upcoming report, as it has a history of exceeding earnings estimates [1] - The company has achieved an average surprise of 22.86% over the last two quarters, indicating strong performance [1] Earnings Performance - In the last reported quarter, Deckers posted earnings of $3 per share, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.60 per share, resulting in a surprise of 15.38% [2] - For the previous quarter, the company exceeded expectations by reporting earnings of $1.59 per share against an estimate of $1.22 per share, delivering a surprise of 30.33% [2] Earnings Estimates and Predictions - Recent estimates for Deckers have been trending upward, with a positive Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction) indicating a strong likelihood of another earnings beat [5][8] - The current Earnings ESP for Deckers is +6.75%, suggesting that analysts have become more optimistic about the company's earnings prospects [8] Zacks Rank and Predictive Metrics - Deckers holds a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold), which, when combined with a positive Earnings ESP, suggests a high probability of beating consensus estimates, with historical data showing nearly 70% success in such cases [6][8] - The Zacks Earnings ESP compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate, with the Most Accurate Estimate reflecting the latest analyst revisions [7]

Core Viewpoint - Deckers (DECK) has experienced a stock return of -8.8% over the past month, underperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite's -3.9% change and the Zacks Retail - Apparel and Shoes industry's -8.9% loss, raising questions about its near-term performance [1] Earnings Estimates Revisions - For the current quarter, Deckers is expected to post earnings of $0.55 per share, reflecting a decrease of -33.7% from the same quarter last year, with the Zacks Consensus Estimate changing by -2.4% over the last 30 days [4] - The consensus earnings estimate for the current fiscal year is $5.88, indicating a year-over-year increase of +21%, with a recent change of -1.2% [4] - For the next fiscal year, the consensus estimate is $6.52, suggesting an increase of +11% from the previous year, with a change of -1.2% over the past month [5] Revenue Growth Forecast - The consensus sales estimate for the current quarter is $983.39 million, indicating a year-over-year growth of +2.5% [9] - For the current fiscal year, the revenue estimate is $4.95 billion, reflecting a growth of +15.4%, while the next fiscal year's estimate of $5.42 billion indicates a change of +9.6% [9] Last Reported Results and Surprise History - Deckers reported revenues of $1.83 billion in the last quarter, representing a year-over-year increase of +17.1%, with an EPS of $3 compared to $2.52 a year ago [10] - The reported revenues exceeded the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.71 billion by +6.7%, and the EPS surprise was +15.38% [10] - The company has consistently beaten consensus EPS and revenue estimates in the trailing four quarters [11] Valuation - Deckers is graded C in the Zacks Value Style Score, indicating it is trading at par with its peers [15] - Valuation multiples such as price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S), and price-to-cash flow (P/CF) are essential for determining whether the stock is fairly valued, overvalued, or undervalued [13][14] Bottom Line - The Zacks Rank 3 suggests that Deckers may perform in line with the broader market in the near term, despite the market buzz surrounding the company [16]