Group 1 - Deckers Outdoor Corporation (NYSE:DECK) is facing skepticism regarding its recent stock rebound, with a suggestion that its momentum is not strong [1] - The company is compared unfavorably to Nike, which is recommended as a better investment opportunity for the next five years [1] - Deckers sells footwear, apparel, and accessories under various brands including UGG, HOKA, Teva, Koolaburra, and AHNU [2] Group 2 - There is a belief that certain AI stocks may offer greater upside potential and carry less downside risk compared to Deckers [3]

华尔街最受热议且影响市场的分析师研报评级如今汇总于此。以下是由 The Fly 整理的、投资者需关注 的今日研报评级。 1. 奥本海默将通用电气能源（GEV）的评级从 "持有" 上调至 "跑赢大盘"，目标价定为 855 美元。 该机构在研报中向投资者表示，得益于价格和销量改善，公司业绩指引较此前有显著上修空间， 且工厂产能利用率和运营效率提升有望带来进一步增长。加拿大皇家银行资本市场也将通用电气 能源评级从 "行业持平" 上调至 "跑赢大盘"，目标价从 630 美元上调至 761 美元。 2. 摩根大通将百事可乐（PEP）评级从 "中性" 上调至 "增持"，目标价从 151 美元上调至 164 美元。 该机构认为，公司在创新和营销支出方面的 "加速计划" 将推动可观的生产效率成本节约。 3. 汇丰银行将艾伯维（ABBV）评级从 "持有" 上调至 "买入"，目标价从 225 美元上调至 265 美元。 机构在研报中指出，公司正展现增长势头，且业务执行能力将持续保持稳健。 4. 摩根士丹利将特雷克斯（TEX）评级从 "持平" 上调至 "增持"，目标价从 47 美元上调至 60 美元。 该机构称，评级上调的原因是公 ...

Core Insights - Deckers (DECK) stock closed at $101.21, up 1.51% from the previous session, outperforming the S&P 500's loss of 0.35% [1] - Over the past month, Deckers shares have increased by 21.93%, contrasting with the Retail-Wholesale sector's decline of 1.73% [1] Financial Performance - Deckers is expected to report an EPS of $2.76, reflecting an 8% decrease from the same quarter last year, with anticipated revenue of $1.87 billion, a 2.27% increase year-over-year [2] - For the full year, earnings are forecasted at $6.41 per share and revenue at $5.36 billion, representing increases of 1.26% and 7.57% respectively compared to the previous year [3] Analyst Sentiment - Recent revisions to analyst forecasts for Deckers are crucial, as they indicate short-term business trends and analyst optimism regarding profitability [4] - The Zacks Rank system, which incorporates estimate changes, currently ranks Deckers at 3 (Hold), with a 0.16% increase in the EPS estimate over the last 30 days [6] Valuation Metrics - Deckers has a Forward P/E ratio of 15.56, which is lower than the industry average of 19.82, indicating a potential valuation discount [7] - The current PEG ratio for Deckers is 4.5, compared to the industry average PEG ratio of 2.23, suggesting a higher anticipated earnings growth rate relative to its price [7] Industry Context - The Retail - Apparel and Shoes industry, part of the Retail-Wholesale sector, holds a Zacks Industry Rank of 78, placing it in the top 32% of over 250 industries [8]

Since my July Sell thesis on Deckers Outdoor Corporation ( DECK ). The stock has underperformed the broader S&P 500 index and at one point was down ~25% from my sell call. However, I see some of theI am a stock analyst with over 20 years of experience in quantitative research, financial modeling, and risk management. My focus is on equity valuation, market trends, and portfolio optimization to uncover high-growth investment opportunities. As a former Vice President at Barclays, I led teams in model validati ...

Core Insights - Deckers Outdoor Corporation, based in Goleta, California, is a prominent designer and producer of niche footwear and accessories, with a market cap of $14.5 billion and brands including UGG, HOKA, Teva, Sanuk, and Koolaburra [1][2] Financial Performance - Despite a solid Q2 performance with a 9.1% year-over-year revenue increase to $1.4 billion, DECK stock fell 15.2% post-earnings release, indicating market disappointment [5] - The earnings per share (EPS) grew 14.5% year-over-year to $1.82, exceeding consensus estimates [5] - Revenue growth was primarily driven by a 13.4% increase in wholesale revenues, while direct-to-consumer (DTC) revenues declined by 80 basis points compared to the previous year [6] Stock Performance - DECK stock has experienced a significant decline of 55.5% from its all-time high of $223.98 on January 30, and a 50.9% drop year-to-date [3][4] - Over the past 52 weeks, DECK stock has decreased by 50.4%, contrasting with the S&P 500 Index's 16.8% increase [4] - The stock has consistently traded below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, indicating a bearish trend [4] Market Position - Deckers has underperformed compared to its peer, Skechers U.S.A., which saw a 6.1% decline in 2025 and a 3.8% drop over the past 52 weeks [7] - Among 25 analysts covering DECK stock, the consensus rating is a "Moderate Buy," with a mean price target of $110.62, suggesting an 11% upside potential from current levels [7]

Core Viewpoint - Deckers Outdoor (DECK) has experienced a significant decline in stock value, dropping over 50% in the past year, indicating potential challenges in the footwear market [1] Company Overview - Deckers Outdoor is a footwear design and distribution company known for its prominent brands, including HOKA, UGG, and Teva [1] Stock Performance - The stock of Deckers Outdoor has decreased by more than 50% over the past year, suggesting a need for analysis regarding the factors contributing to this decline [1]

Core Viewpoint - Deckers Outdoor has faced significant challenges in 2025, resulting in a 53% decline in stock value year-to-date, raising questions about its ability to recover in 2026 [2][4]. Group 1: Macroeconomic Environment - The primary challenge for Deckers in 2025 has been weakening consumer spending in the U.S., impacting not only Deckers but also other consumer discretionary companies like Lululemon and Nike [5]. - Revenue growth slowed to 9% year-over-year in the fiscal second quarter, with domestic sales increasing only 1.7%, while international sales grew by 29.3%, now accounting for over 40% of total revenue [6]. Group 2: Performance in New Markets - Growth in international markets, particularly in China and the EMEA region, is crucial for Deckers' long-term growth strategy, with the company opening its first store in Germany [9]. - Hoka has shown strong performance in major European markets, gaining market share and experiencing growth in the direct-to-consumer channel [10]. Group 3: Margin Strength - Deckers has historically maintained high gross margins, which improved from 55.9% to 56.2% despite disappointing second-quarter results, indicating effective management of product pricing [11]. Group 4: Valuation - Following a decline of over 50% in 2025, Deckers' stock trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 14, suggesting that significant weakness is already reflected in the stock price [13]. - If the valuation decreases further, it may present a buying opportunity for long-term investors, assuming the company can stabilize its business [14].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the textile, apparel, and luxury goods industry is "Positive" and maintained [9] Core Insights - The report summarizes the Q3 2025 financial performance of overseas sports brands, highlighting sales performance, profitability, and inventory status, indicating a gradual improvement in overall performance [2][4] - Revenue performance among major footwear and apparel companies shows divergence, with some brands experiencing strong growth while others face challenges [5][6] - The outlook for the industry suggests a gradual recovery in demand and inventory replenishment, particularly for brands like Adidas and On, while Nike continues to face headwinds [8][36] Revenue Performance - Revenue growth varied significantly among companies in Q3 2025, with Adidas (+12%), On (+35%), and Amer Sports (+30%) showing strong growth, while Nike and VF both reported a decline of -1% [5][19] - The overall revenue performance in Q3 2025 improved compared to Q2, despite some brands continuing to face pressure [5][6] Guidance - The visibility for the full year has improved, with brands like UA restoring full-year guidance, indicating a positive trend despite expected performance divergence [6][26] - Strong growth trends are expected to continue for On and Amer Sports, while Nike and VF are projected to see declines but with signs of improvement [6][31] Inventory - The industry is entering a phase of inventory replenishment, with moderate recovery in demand observed in the U.S. and Europe, although challenges remain in certain markets [7][36] - U.S. apparel inventory levels are in a destocking phase, with wholesale inventory ratios declining since 2023, while retail inventory levels have stabilized [7][36] Future Outlook - The industry is expected to gradually transition into a replenishment phase, with demand showing signs of recovery, particularly in the U.S. apparel sector [8][36] - Brands like Adidas are actively seeking to replenish inventory for growth, while Nike continues to destock amid ongoing challenges [8][36]

Core Insights - Investors in the Retail - Apparel and Shoes sector should consider Gap (GAP) and Deckers (DECK) for potential value opportunities [1] Valuation Metrics - Gap has a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy), indicating a stronger earnings outlook compared to Deckers, which has a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) [3] - Gap's forward P/E ratio is 11.61, while Deckers has a forward P/E of 12.98 [5] - Gap's PEG ratio is 2.76, compared to Deckers' PEG ratio of 3.75, suggesting Gap may be more undervalued relative to its expected earnings growth [5] - Gap's P/B ratio is 2.52, significantly lower than Deckers' P/B of 4.91, indicating a better valuation relative to book value [6] - These metrics contribute to Gap earning a Value grade of A, while Deckers received a Value grade of C [6] Investment Strategy - A combination of a strong Zacks Rank and favorable Value grade is suggested as an effective strategy for identifying value stocks [2] - Traditional figures and metrics are essential for value investors to assess whether a company is undervalued at its current share price [3][4]

Core Viewpoint - Deckers Outdoor Corporation (DECK) has experienced significant stock declines despite reporting better-than-expected earnings, raising concerns among investors regarding future revenue guidance [2][3]. Company Overview - Deckers Outdoor Corporation is valued at a market cap of $12.1 billion and is known for its premium lifestyle and performance brands, including UGG, HOKA, Teva, Sanuk, and Koolaburra [1]. Stock Performance - Over the past 52 weeks, DECK shares have declined by 56.7%, while the S&P 500 Index has gained 11%. Year-to-date, DECK is down 59.1%, compared to a 14% increase in the S&P 500 [2]. - DECK has also underperformed against the Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLY), which has returned 4.8% over the past 52 weeks and 1.9% year-to-date [2]. Earnings Results - In Q2, DECK reported a revenue increase of 9.1% year-over-year to $1.4 billion and an EPS of $1.82, which grew 14.5% from the previous year, exceeding consensus estimates. However, shares fell 15.2% following the earnings report due to fiscal 2026 revenue guidance of $5.35 billion being below analyst expectations [3]. Future Earnings Expectations - For the current fiscal year ending in March 2026, analysts expect DECK's EPS to grow 1.3% year-over-year to $6.41. The company has a strong earnings surprise history, exceeding consensus estimates in the last four quarters [4]. Analyst Ratings - Among 25 analysts covering DECK, the consensus rating is a "Moderate Buy," with 10 "Strong Buy," 1 "Moderate Buy," 12 "Hold," and 2 "Strong Sell" ratings [4]. - Recently, Stifel Financial Corp. upgraded DECK to "Buy" with a price target of $117, indicating a potential upside of 40.7%. The mean price target of $110.62 suggests a 33.1% premium from current levels, while the highest price target of $157 indicates an 88.9% potential upside [5].