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Buy The Fear? Why Deckers' 50% Slide Could Be Overdone
Forbes· 2025-10-22 09:16
CHONGQING, CHINA - MAY 18: In this photo illustration, the logo of Deckers Outdoor Corporation is displayed on a smartphone screen, with the company's latest stock market chart in the background, reflecting investor sentiment and recent trading activity, on May 18, 2025, in Chongqing, China. Deckers is an American footwear and apparel company known for its premium lifestyle brands including UGG, HOKA, Teva, Sanuk, and Koolaburra, serving global markets with innovative and performance-driven products. (Photo ...
UBS Maintains Bullish Outlook on Deckers Outdoor Corporation (DECK) as Analysts Monitor HOKA’s U.S. Growth Recovery
Insider Monkey· 2025-10-21 05:08
Core Insights - Artificial intelligence (AI) is identified as the greatest investment opportunity of the current era, with a strong emphasis on the urgent need for energy to support its growth [1][2][3] - A specific company is highlighted as a key player in the AI energy sector, owning critical energy infrastructure assets that are essential for meeting the increasing energy demands of AI technologies [3][7] Investment Landscape - Wall Street is investing hundreds of billions into AI, but there is a pressing concern regarding the energy supply needed to sustain this growth [2] - AI data centers consume energy equivalent to that of small cities, leading to a strain on global power grids and rising electricity prices [2][3] - The company in focus is positioned to capitalize on the surge in demand for electricity driven by AI advancements [3][6] Company Profile - The company is described as a "toll booth" operator in the AI energy boom, benefiting from the increasing need for energy infrastructure [4][5] - It is involved in the U.S. LNG exportation sector, which is expected to grow significantly under the current administration's energy policies [7] - The company is noted for its capability in executing large-scale engineering, procurement, and construction projects across various energy sectors, including nuclear energy [7][8] Financial Position - The company is completely debt-free and has a substantial cash reserve, amounting to nearly one-third of its market capitalization [8] - It is trading at less than 7 times earnings, indicating a potentially undervalued position in the market [10] Market Trends - The ongoing AI infrastructure supercycle, combined with the onshoring boom and a surge in U.S. LNG exports, creates a favorable environment for the company's growth [14] - The influx of talent into the AI sector is expected to drive continuous innovation and advancements, further solidifying the importance of energy infrastructure [12][13]
Earnings Preview: What to Expect From Deckers Outdoor's Report
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-13 13:36
Core Viewpoint - Deckers Outdoor Corporation (DECK) is positioned for potential growth despite recent stock performance challenges, with upcoming earnings expected to reflect a slight profit decrease compared to the previous year [1][2]. Financial Performance - Analysts anticipate DECK will report a profit of $1.58 per share for fiscal Q2 2026, a slight decrease from $1.59 per share in the same quarter last year [2]. - For fiscal 2026, DECK is projected to achieve a profit of $6.35 per share, a marginal increase from $6.33 per share in fiscal 2025, with further growth expected to $6.82 per share in fiscal 2027, representing a year-over-year increase of 7.4% [3]. Recent Stock Performance - DECK's shares have declined by 40.2% over the past 52 weeks, significantly underperforming the S&P 500 Index, which rose by 13.4%, and the Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund, which increased by 17.4% during the same period [4]. - Following the release of better-than-expected Q1 results, DECK's shares surged by 11.4% in the subsequent trading session, with net sales rising by 16.9% year-over-year to $964.5 million, exceeding consensus estimates by 7.3% [5]. Analyst Sentiment - Wall Street analysts maintain a "Moderate Buy" rating for DECK, with 10 out of 25 analysts recommending "Strong Buy," one suggesting "Moderate Buy," 12 advising "Hold," and two indicating "Strong Sell" [6]. - The mean price target for DECK is set at $127.75, suggesting a potential upside of 34.4% from current levels [6].
The 2 Best Retail Stocks to Buy Now, According to Analysts
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-09 11:30
Core Insights - Retail stocks linked to merchandise have faced significant declines over the past year, primarily due to increased tariffs and the elimination of the de minimis rule for duty-free imports [1][2] Retail Industry Overview - Retail businesses typically operate on thin margins and rely on high volume for profitability; however, rising tariffs have severely impacted these margins, posing survival challenges for many companies [2] Company-Specific Analysis Deckers Outdoor (DECK) - Deckers is leveraging its premium brand positioning to mitigate tariff impacts by increasing prices on its fast-growing HOKA and UGG products [5] - The CFO of Deckers indicated that if tariffs from Vietnam rise from 10% to 20%, the company could face an unmitigated impact of $185 million on its cost of goods sold in fiscal year 2026 [5] - Deckers has established cost-sharing partnerships with manufacturing facilities in Vietnam and China to distribute the tariff burden [5] - The company boasts the highest return on invested capital (ROIC) in the retail sector at 53% for 2024, with $1.72 billion in cash and only $312 million in debt, allowing it to remain profitable despite tariff challenges [6] - The mean price target for Deckers is $127.80, indicating a potential upside of 26% [6] Lululemon Athletica (LULU) - Lululemon is also positioned as an efficient business in the retail sector, with a ROIC of 45% [7] - Despite its efficiency, Lululemon has received a "Neutral" rating from Citi and a consensus "Hold" from 31 analysts [7]
UBS Retains Its Buy Rating and $158 Price Target for Deckers Outdoor Corporation (DECK)
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-08 14:11
With significant hedge fund interest and return on equity, Deckers Outdoor Corporation (NYSE:DECK) secures a spot on our list of the 13 Safest Stocks to Invest in Now. UBS Retains Its Buy Rating and $158 Price Target for Deckers Outdoor Corporation (DECK) UBS retained its Buy rating and $158 price target for Deckers Outdoor Corporation (NYSE:DECK) on September 29, emphasizing the stock’s growth potential and undervaluation. With the help of the HOKA and UGG brands, the company anticipates that earnings p ...
Has Deckers Outdoor Stock Quietly Become A Value Play?
Forbes· 2025-10-08 13:35
Photo illustration by Cheng Xin/Getty ImagesGetty ImagesHere is why we believe Deckers Outdoor (DECK) stock is worthy of consideration as a value stock. It is presently trading almost 56% lower than its one-year high and is also trading at a price-to-sales multiple that falls below the average over the past three years. Nonetheless, it possesses reasonable fundamentals for its valuation level.Reasonable Revenue Growth: 16.3% LTM and 16.5% three-year average.Cash Generative: Almost 19.2% free cash flow margi ...
These Were the 5 Worst-Performing Stocks in the S&P 500 in September 2025 -- and One's Decline Can Be Tied to President Trump
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-08 13:13
Group 1 - The article discusses the worst-performing stocks in the S&P 500 index for September, highlighting significant declines in share prices [1][8]. - CarMax experienced a 24.8% drop in stock value due to disappointing second-quarter results, with revenue and profits down by 25% year over year, reflecting decreased consumer enthusiasm for car purchases [3]. - FactSet Research Systems saw a 22.3% decline, attributed to results that fell below analyst expectations [4]. - Kenvue's stock fell by 21.9%, influenced by negative public perception regarding Tylenol's alleged link to autism following statements from public figures [5]. - Deckers Outdoor's shares decreased by 17.5%, impacted by concerns over tariffs and economic uncertainty, along with disappointing earnings reports [6]. - Synopsys experienced a 16.7% decline due to weakened demand from a major customer and previous export restrictions, which have since been lifted [7]. Group 2 - Despite the declines in these stocks, the S&P 500 index gained 3.5% in September, indicating a broader market resilience [8]. - The article suggests that while some stocks may have fallen due to temporary issues, they could present buying opportunities if the market has overreacted and the company's future remains promising [8][9]. - The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team has identified ten stocks they believe are better investment options than CarMax, indicating a shift in investor focus [10].
ClearBridge Mid Cap Growth Strategy Q3 2025 Commentary (Mutual Fund:LBGAX)
Seeking Alpha· 2025-10-08 06:35
Market Overview - Mid cap growth equities experienced modest gains in Q3, with the Russell Midcap Growth Index returning 2.8%, lagging behind the Russell Midcap Value Index at 6.2% and the Russell Midcap Index at 5.3% [3] - The U.S. Federal Reserve's rate cut in September contributed to easing monetary policy, benefiting rate-sensitive sectors and renewing interest in cyclical and innovation-led areas [3] Investor Sentiment - Investor sentiment improved due to the passage of the One Big Beautiful Bill and progress on trade agreements, reducing policy uncertainty and enabling companies to execute delayed strategic decisions [4] - Earnings estimates stabilized, particularly in technology and AI-related sectors, despite ongoing challenges in non-residential construction and discretionary segments [4] Portfolio Performance - The ClearBridge Mid Cap Growth Strategy outperformed its benchmark in Q3, driven by stock selection in IT, consumer staples, and healthcare sectors, while consumer discretionary and financials sectors slightly detracted from performance [5] Sector Contributions - In the IT sector, AppLovin (APP) and Monolithic Power Systems (MPWR) were standout performers, with AppLovin benefiting from strong earnings and optimism around its e-commerce business [6] - Consumer staples saw positive contributions from Performance Food Group (PFGC) and Casey's General Stores (CASY), both benefiting from strong operational performance [7] - The consumer discretionary sector faced challenges, particularly with Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG) and Wingstop (WING) experiencing declines due to competitive pressures and softer spending trends [8] - Financials sector was a modest drag on performance, with Tradeweb Markets (TW) and Corpay facing challenges from macro volatility and company-specific issues [9] Portfolio Positioning - New positions were initiated in Roblox, benefiting from improved growth dynamics and advertising opportunities, and APi Group, which is well-positioned in safety and industrial services [10][11] - Exited position in Deckers Outdoor (DECK) due to increasing competitive pressures in the sneaker market [12] Outlook - Leadership within mid growth stocks remains selective, with a few companies rewarded for differentiated technology and strong pipelines, while others struggle with demand and competition [13] - Focus remains on identifying businesses with secular growth drivers across technology, healthcare, and industrials sectors [14] - Near-term market uncertainty is expected to persist, but the strategy is positioned to benefit from companies sustaining durable growth in earnings and cash flow [15] Portfolio Highlights - The ClearBridge Mid Cap Growth Strategy had positive contributions across seven of the 11 sectors, with IT and healthcare being the leading contributors [16] - Stock selection in IT, consumer staples, healthcare, and energy sectors contributed positively, while consumer discretionary and financials sectors weighed on performance [17] - Individual stock contributions included AppLovin, United Rentals (URI), and Performance Food, while detractors included Chipotle Mexican Grill and Tradeweb Markets [18]
Deckers Outdoor: Market Is Underestimating Growth (NYSE:DECK)
Seeking Alpha· 2025-10-04 07:17
We believe Deckers Outdoor Corporation (NYSE: DECK ) is being overly penalized by the market due to a lack of guidance amid macro uncertainties. We believe the management acted with their bestAnalyst’s Disclosure:I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of DECK either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any c ...
Deckers Outdoor: Market Is Underestimating Growth
Seeking Alpha· 2025-10-04 07:17
Core Viewpoint - Deckers Outdoor Corporation (NYSE: DECK) is perceived to be excessively punished by the market due to the absence of guidance amidst macroeconomic uncertainties [1] Group 1 - The management of Deckers is believed to have acted in the best interest of the company despite the lack of guidance [1]