Workflow
Vanguard Total International Stock Index Fund ETF
icon
Search documents
Is The Vanguard Total International Stock Index Fund ETF Still a Buy?
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-06 13:00
Core Insights - The Vanguard Total International Stock Index Fund ETF (NASDAQ: VXUS) has experienced a 27% increase year-to-date through October 3, 2025, marking its best performance in years after averaging only 5.8% annually since 2011. This raises the question of whether there is still value in this ETF after such a strong run [1] - International stocks are trading at 16.2 times earnings compared to 28 times for the S&P 500, indicating a 42% discount that reflects fundamental differences rather than market inefficiencies. Investors need to understand the reasons behind this valuation gap and the factors that contributed to the 2025 reversal after years of underperformance [1][6] Valuation Gap - The valuation gap between U.S. and international stocks is not arbitrary, as U.S. companies achieve average returns on equity above 20%, while European firms average around 12% and emerging markets hover around 10%. U.S. businesses dominate high-margin sectors like technology and healthcare, while international indices are heavily weighted in banks, industrials, and energy, which have lower profitability [3] - The geographic composition of the fund includes 8,621 holdings, with approximately 40% in Europe, 30% in Pacific developed markets, and 30% in emerging markets. Major holdings include Nestlé, Samsung, ASML, and Taiwan Semiconductor, but these companies have smaller weights in the fund compared to dominant U.S. firms like Apple or Microsoft [4] Currency and Structural Factors - Currency risk is another factor contributing to the discount, as the fund does not hedge against currency fluctuations, meaning a strengthening dollar can directly reduce returns. These structural realities explain why international stocks have traded at lower valuations for an extended period [5] Changes in 2025 - Three significant shifts have driven international equities in 2025: a weakening dollar, which has decreased by approximately 10% to 11% in the first half of the year, reducing currency headwinds for foreign assets; targeted stimulus measures and relaxed property constraints in China aimed at spurring investment; and signs of economic stabilization in Europe, with euro-zone factories returning to growth, raising optimism for potential earnings surprises [6][7] - The 27% rally in 2025 reflects not only the weakening dollar trends and China's reopening but also a valuation mean reversion [6]