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EXOD's Swap and Transaction Volumes Grow: What's Ahead for the Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-12-05 16:51
Core Insights - Exodus Movement (EXOD) is experiencing rapid growth as a self-custodial wallet and Web3 financial services provider, with revenues increasing by 51% year-over-year due to rising digital asset prices in 2025 [1] - The company reported an 82% year-over-year growth in swap volume in Q3 2025, with 28% of this volume coming from B2B swaps [1] Revenue and Growth - The increase in trading activity, user engagement, and strong partner traction has significantly contributed to EXOD's growth [2] - EXOD's partner strategy, which provides access to multi-chain liquidity without the need for partners to build their own infrastructure, is expanding rapidly, adding 16 new partners in Q3 2025, with 10 already paying [2] Market Expansion - EXOD's acquisition of Grateful allows it to enter the high-growth Stablecoin payments market, enabling instant merchant settlements and lower transaction fees, while also planning to expand into the Argentinian and Uruguayan markets [3] - The company currently holds $315 million in digital and liquid assets, providing a robust balance sheet with no debt [3] Market Potential - With a cryptocurrency market cap exceeding $3 trillion and stablecoin transaction volumes at $26 trillion, EXOD is positioned to benefit from this substantial total addressable market [4] Competitive Landscape - EXOD faces competition from digital asset exchanges and FinTech companies like Coinbase, Robinhood, and PayPal, which offer self-custodial wallet solutions and crypto trading services [5][6] Financial Performance - EXOD shares have declined by 48.4% over the past year, underperforming the Zacks Internet – Software industry, which grew by 0.6% [7] - The company trades at a price-to-book ratio of 1.41X, which is lower than the industry average of 5.92X, indicating potential undervaluation [8][9] Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for EXOD's 2025 earnings suggests a year-over-year growth of 3.5%, with recent upward revisions in estimates over the past 30 days [10]
Should You Hold or Fold EXOD Stock After a 38.3% Decline in a Month
ZACKS· 2025-12-04 15:56
Core Insights - Exodus Movement (EXOD) shares have declined by 38.3% over the past month, significantly underperforming the Zacks Internet – Software industry's decline of 3% [1] - The company has a trailing 12-month price-to-book ratio of 1.41X, which is considerably lower than the industry's average of 5.81X, indicating a favorable valuation [4] - EXOD reported a 51% year-over-year revenue growth and an 82% increase in swap volume in Q3 2025, driven by rising digital asset prices [6][8] - The acquisition of Grateful enhances EXOD's capabilities in stablecoin payments and opens new market opportunities [6][10] Financial Performance - EXOD's revenues grew by 51% year-over-year, supported by increased digital asset prices [8] - The company experienced an 82% year-over-year growth in swap volume, with 28% of this volume coming from B2B swaps [8] - The balance sheet is robust, with $315 million in digital and liquid assets and no debt [10] Market Position and Strategy - EXOD is expanding its partner strategy, adding 16 new partners in Q3 2025, 10 of which are already paying, enhancing its multi-chain liquidity access [9] - The company is entering the high-growth stablecoin payments market, which allows for instant merchant settlements and lower transaction fees [10] - With a total addressable market of over $3 trillion in cryptocurrency and $26 trillion in stablecoin transaction volume, EXOD is well-positioned for growth [11] User Engagement and Challenges - User engagement has softened, with Monthly Active Users dropping from 2.3 million in Q4 2024 to 1.5 million in Q3 2025, despite a 20% year-over-year increase in Quarterly Funded Users [12] - The company faces structural risks due to its reliance on third-party API providers and competitive pressures from exchanges like Coinbase and other fintech companies [13][15] - Earnings volatility is a concern, with the Zacks Consensus Estimate projecting modest year-over-year growth of 3.5% for 2025 [16] Conclusion - Despite challenges such as reliance on third-party APIs and rising competition, EXOD's strong asset base, attractive P/B valuation, and expanding swap and payments ecosystem suggest solid long-term potential [18]