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What's Happening With Nike Stock?
Forbesยท 2025-12-09 12:45
Core Viewpoint - Nike's stock has declined by approximately 15% over the past year, contrasting with a 14% rise in the S&P 500, raising questions about whether this presents a buying opportunity or signals deeper issues [2] Valuation - Nike's valuation metrics are surprisingly high despite its stock decline, with a price-to-sales ratio of 2.2, a P/E ratio of 35.6, and a price-to-free-cash-flow ratio of 34.2, all exceeding broader S&P 500 benchmarks [3] Growth - Nike's revenue has not only slowed but has also declined, with a drop of more than 7% in the past twelve months, falling from $50 billion to $46 billion [4] - The most recent quarter showed only a modest 1.1% year-over-year growth, significantly lagging behind the broader market expectations for a brand of Nike's stature [5] Profitability - Nike's operating margin is at 7.4%, well below the S&P 500's near 19%, indicating slim margins compared to peers and historical performance, which raises concerns for investors [6] Financial Stability - Nike maintains a strong balance sheet with manageable debt levels relative to its $97 billion market cap and a solid cash position that constitutes nearly a quarter of its total assets [7][8] Downturn Resilience - Nike has shown mixed performance during market downturns, with significant volatility in its stock price, including a 53% drop during the 2022 inflation shock, which was more than double the market's decline [11][10] Bottom Line - The current situation presents a paradox for Nike, with an undervalued stock but low sentiment, weak revenue growth, and below-market margins, suggesting caution for potential investors [11][12]