Financial Performance - Zumiez reported a quarterly loss of $0.79 per share, slightly worse than the Zacks Consensus Estimate of a loss of $0.77, but an improvement from a loss of $0.86 per share a year ago [1] - The company posted revenues of $184.34 million for the quarter ended April 2025, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 0.99% and up from $177.39 million year-over-year [2] - Over the last four quarters, Zumiez has surpassed consensus EPS estimates two times and topped consensus revenue estimates three times [2] Stock Performance - Zumiez shares have declined approximately 34.4% since the beginning of the year, contrasting with the S&P 500's gain of 1.5% [3] - The current Zacks Rank for Zumiez is 3 (Hold), indicating that the shares are expected to perform in line with the market in the near future [6] Earnings Outlook - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $0.06 on revenues of $211.02 million, and for the current fiscal year, it is $0.24 on revenues of $900.58 million [7] - The estimate revisions trend for Zumiez is mixed, and changes in earnings expectations may occur following the recent earnings report [6] Industry Context - The Retail - Apparel and Shoes industry, to which Zumiez belongs, is currently ranked in the bottom 42% of over 250 Zacks industries, suggesting potential challenges ahead [8] - Empirical research indicates a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions, which could impact Zumiez's stock performance [5]

Core Viewpoint - The market anticipates a year-over-year decline in J.Jill's earnings due to lower revenues, with actual results being crucial for stock price movement [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - J.Jill is expected to report quarterly earnings of $0.88 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of 27.9%, and revenues are projected at $156.67 million, down 3% from the previous year [3]. Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 0.51% higher in the last 30 days, indicating a slight bullish sentiment among analysts [4]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Most Accurate Estimate for J.Jill is higher than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of +1.71%, although the stock has a Zacks Rank of 4, complicating predictions of an earnings beat [12]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, J.Jill exceeded the expected earnings of $0.22 per share by delivering $0.32, resulting in a surprise of +45.45%. The company has beaten consensus EPS estimates in the last four quarters [13][14]. Conclusion - While J.Jill does not appear to be a strong candidate for an earnings beat, investors should consider other factors influencing stock performance ahead of the earnings release [17].

Core Insights - J.Jill (JILL) has consistently surpassed earnings estimates and is well-positioned for future earnings reports [1][2] Earnings Performance - In the last two quarters, J.Jill has exceeded earnings estimates by an average of 28.35% [2] - For the most recent quarter, J.Jill reported earnings of $0.32 per share, exceeding the expected $0.22 per share by 45.45% [3] - In the previous quarter, the company reported $0.89 per share against an estimate of $0.80 per share, resulting in a surprise of 11.25% [3] Earnings Estimates and Predictions - There has been a favorable change in earnings estimates for J.Jill, with a positive Zacks Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction) indicating a strong likelihood of an earnings beat [6][9] - Stocks with a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) or better have a nearly 70% chance of producing a positive surprise [7] - J.Jill currently has an Earnings ESP of +1.71%, suggesting analysts are optimistic about the company's earnings prospects [9] Importance of Earnings ESP - The Zacks Earnings ESP compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate, with the Most Accurate Estimate reflecting the latest analyst revisions [8] - A negative Earnings ESP can reduce predictive power but does not necessarily indicate an earnings miss [9] - It is crucial for investors to check a company's Earnings ESP before quarterly releases to improve the chances of successful investment decisions [10]