Company Performance - Lennox International (LII) reported quarterly earnings of $7.82 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $6.9 per share, and up from $6.83 per share a year ago [1] - The earnings surprise for this quarter was +13.33%, following a previous quarter where the company also surpassed expectations with earnings of $3.37 per share against an estimate of $3.25 per share, resulting in a surprise of +3.69% [2] - The company achieved revenues of $1.5 billion for the quarter ended June 2025, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 1.35% and increasing from $1.45 billion year-over-year [3] Market Outlook - Lennox shares have increased approximately 1.8% since the beginning of the year, while the S&P 500 has gained 7.3% [4] - The company's future stock performance will largely depend on management's commentary during the earnings call and the sustainability of the recent earnings numbers [4] Earnings Estimates - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $7.12, with expected revenues of $1.56 billion, and for the current fiscal year, the estimate is $22.89 on revenues of $5.46 billion [8] - The estimate revisions trend for Lennox was mixed prior to the earnings release, resulting in a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold) for the stock, indicating expected performance in line with the market [7] Industry Context - The Building Products - Air Conditioner and Heating industry, to which Lennox belongs, is currently ranked in the bottom 20% of over 250 Zacks industries, suggesting potential challenges ahead [9] - The performance of Lennox's stock may be influenced by the overall outlook for the industry, as historical data shows that the top 50% of Zacks-ranked industries outperform the bottom 50% by more than 2 to 1 [9]

Core Viewpoint - Lennox International (LII) is positioned well to potentially beat earnings estimates in its upcoming quarterly report, supported by a strong history of exceeding expectations [1]. Group 1: Earnings Performance - Lennox has a solid track record of surpassing earnings estimates, with an average surprise of 18.04% over the last two quarters [2]. - In the last reported quarter, Lennox achieved earnings of $3.37 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $3.25 per share by 3.69% [3]. - For the previous quarter, the company reported earnings of $5.6 per share against an expectation of $4.23 per share, resulting in a surprise of 32.39% [3]. Group 2: Earnings Estimates and Predictions - Estimates for Lennox have been trending upward, aided by its history of earnings surprises, and the stock currently has a positive Zacks Earnings ESP of +2.03% [5][7]. - The combination of a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) suggests a high likelihood of another earnings beat, with historical data indicating that nearly 70% of stocks with this combination exceed consensus estimates [6][7]. Group 3: Earnings Release Information - The next earnings report for Lennox is expected to be released on July 23, 2025 [7].

Core Viewpoint - Wall Street anticipates a year-over-year increase in earnings for Lennox International (LII) due to higher revenues, with a focus on how actual results compare to estimates impacting stock price [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - Lennox is expected to report quarterly earnings of $6.90 per share, reflecting a +1% change year-over-year, with revenues projected at $1.48 billion, up 2.1% from the previous year [3]. - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 0.17% higher in the last 30 days, indicating a collective reassessment by analysts [4]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model shows a positive Earnings ESP of +2.41% for Lennox, suggesting analysts are optimistic about the company's earnings prospects [12]. - A positive Earnings ESP is a strong predictor of an earnings beat, especially when combined with a Zacks Rank of 1, 2, or 3 [10]. Historical Performance - Lennox has consistently beaten consensus EPS estimates, achieving this in the last four quarters [14]. - In the last reported quarter, Lennox exceeded expectations by delivering earnings of $3.37 per share against an expected $3.25, resulting in a surprise of +3.69% [13]. Conclusion - Lennox is positioned as a compelling candidate for an earnings beat, but investors should consider other influencing factors before making investment decisions [17].

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Core Insights - Midea has been awarded the 2025 German Red Dot Product Design Award for its Numen series air conditioners, which feature advanced AI ECOMASTER and Prime Guard technology, enhancing consumer options in Southeast Asia [1] Group 1: Product Features - The AI ECOMASTER system in the Celest series offers precise temperature control of ±0.3°C, achieving 30% additional energy savings while maintaining comfort [3] - Prime Guard technology includes innovative features such as TU1 corrosion-resistant copper tubes that reduce impurities by 70%, and a Silver Shield coating that limits corrosion to 0.1% [4] - COOLFLASH technology allows the Celest series to drop room temperature by 5°C in just 10 minutes, with a strong airflow of 665m³/h, designed to perform reliably even at temperatures up to 55°C [5] Group 2: Market Positioning - Midea's continuous innovation in the Celest series transforms award-winning technologies into practical benefits for consumers, ensuring reliable cooling and addressing the specific needs of Southeast Asian markets [7] - The company has developed 35 leading inverter technologies and holds 3,300 patents related to inverters, reinforcing its position as the world's No.1 inverter air conditioner manufacturer [3]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Gree Electric Appliances Inc of Zhuhai is Overweight [2][12][13]. Core Views - The report indicates a price target of Rmb54.00, with the stock currently trading at Rmb45.56, suggesting an upside potential of approximately 18.53% [2][9]. - The earnings per share (EPS) estimates for fiscal years 2025, 2026, and 2027 are projected to be Rmb6.31, Rmb6.69, and Rmb7.22 respectively, reflecting an increase from prior estimates [2][20]. - The report highlights a solid balance sheet and a sustainable high dividend payout ratio, which supports long-term returns [16]. Revenue and Earnings Estimates - Revenue for 2025 is slightly reduced by 2-3% due to a fading trade-in effect amid macro uncertainties, while earnings estimates are lifted by 5-6% due to better margin trends observed in Q1 2025 [1][2]. - The projected domestic air conditioner volume growth for 2025 is 8%, with an average selling price (ASP) growth of 2% [17]. Valuation Metrics - The price-to-earnings (P/E) multiple is adjusted from 9x to 8.5x, reflecting a market derating amid high global macro uncertainties [1][6]. - The stock is currently trading at an attractive valuation of approximately 7x 2025e P/E, which is about 1 standard deviation below its average of 10x since 2017 [16]. Risk Reward Scenarios - The bull case scenario assumes an 11x target P/E with EPS growth of 17% and 6% for 2025 and 2026 respectively, while the bear case assumes a 5x target P/E with lower EPS growth of 3% and 6% [10][15]. - The report identifies positive themes in pricing power and special situations for Gree Electric Appliances [14].

Group 1 - The consumption market is experiencing a surge in activity during the "May Day" holiday, with vibrant market supply and optimized consumer services across the country [1][3] - The Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs reports sufficient grain and oil stocks, with a stable supply of essential products like meat, eggs, milk, fruits, and seafood during the holiday [3] - Major cities like Beijing and Guangdong are preparing for increased demand by stocking essential goods at 2-3 times the usual supply levels [3] Group 2 - In Jiangsu's Yancheng, there is a high demand for consumer electronics such as smartphones and air conditioners, with promotional activities like trade-in offers being popular [5] - Jiangsu province is distributing 2 million yuan in automotive consumption vouchers, particularly favoring new energy vehicle purchases [5] - Various regions are promoting trade-in subsidies for household appliances, with Ningxia planning 24 themed events and a subsidy fund of no less than 40 million yuan [7] Group 3 - New cultural and tourism consumption scenarios are being introduced, such as the "Night Guangxi" service consumption season, which includes a consumption map for tourists [9] - In Chongqing's Dazu District, new night tourism experiences are being created with vibrant performances and food stalls [11] - Beijing has launched the "Breeze Terrace Plan," focusing on unique terrace experiences and exclusive discounts in several commercial areas, running until September [13]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a positive outlook on the Japan Electronics sector, indicating that sector stocks are attractive following an average decline of approximately 10% over the past month [1]. Core Insights - The report anticipates that US tariffs will be revised before causing a recession, with minimal to moderate impact on Japan's industrial and consumer electronics sectors compared to other export industries [1][2]. - Company-specific catalysts such as restructuring and buybacks are highlighted as potential growth drivers [1]. - The focus is on upcoming results from Hitachi and NEC, which are expected to be less affected by tariffs, while long-term growth prospects are emphasized for Mitsubishi Electric, Panasonic, and Fujitsu [1]. Summary by Sections Tariff Impact - The report suggests that tariffs could depress the sector's operating profit (OP) by 21% in gross terms for FY3/26, with varying impacts across companies: Sharp (174%), Yamaha (67%), Hitachi (5%), and Fujitsu (7%) [4][6]. - In a best-case scenario, the average impact on OP across the sector is estimated to be 9% [4]. Company-Specific Analysis - **Sony**: Expected to face the largest impact due to tariffs on PS5 sales, with a significant portion of production in China [8][9]. - **Panasonic**: Anticipated to be heavily affected due to its US sales of white goods and batteries, although some operations may mitigate tariff impacts [10][11]. - **Mitsubishi Electric**: Projected to experience a major impact primarily on air conditioner sales, with 17% of sales coming from North America [12]. - **Hitachi**: Expected to have a minimal impact with a 5% reduction in OP, potentially decreasing to 3% with strategic responses [15]. - **NEC**: Anticipated to be largely unaffected due to its low US sales weighting [16]. - **Casio and Yamaha**: Projected to see significant profit reductions of 47% and 67% respectively, as both companies are in a post-restructuring phase [17][19].

Company Performance - Lennox International (LII) reported quarterly earnings of $3.37 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $3.25 per share, but down from $3.47 per share a year ago [1] - The earnings surprise for this quarter was 3.69%, following a previous quarter where the company reported earnings of $5.60 per share against an expectation of $4.23, resulting in a surprise of 32.39% [2] - The company achieved revenues of $1.07 billion for the quarter ended March 2025, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 4.19% and showing an increase from $1.05 billion year-over-year [3] Market Outlook - Lennox shares have declined approximately 8.3% since the beginning of the year, while the S&P 500 has seen a decline of 10.1% [4] - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $7.07 on revenues of $1.49 billion, and for the current fiscal year, it is $22.82 on revenues of $5.42 billion [8] Industry Context - The Building Products - Air Conditioner and Heating industry, to which Lennox belongs, is currently ranked in the bottom 34% of over 250 Zacks industries, indicating potential challenges ahead [9] - Another company in the same industry, Trane Technologies, is expected to report quarterly earnings of $2.19 per share, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 12.9% [10]