Summary of Hualan Biological Engineering (002007.SZ) Earnings Review Company Overview - **Company**: Hualan Biological Engineering - **Ticker**: 002007.SZ - **Industry**: Plasma products and vaccines Key Financial Results - **1H25 Revenue**: Rmb1,798 million, an increase of 9% year-over-year (yoy) [1] - **1H25 Net Profit**: Rmb516 million, an increase of 17% yoy [1] - **Product Revenue Breakdown**: - Albumin: Rmb696 million (+8% yoy) - IVIG: Rmb453 million (-1% yoy) - Other Plasma Products: Rmb588 million (+15% yoy) - Vaccines: Rmb57 million (+93% yoy) [1] Market Dynamics - **Price Decline**: Unit prices for albumin and IVIG declined by approximately 5% [1] - **Competitive Landscape**: Despite price declines, Hualan's performance is considered favorable compared to industry peers, with no inventory pressure reported [1] Regulatory Developments - **Recombinant Albumin Approval**: China's first recombinant albumin was approved on July 18, 2025. However, Hualan management believes the near-term impact on plasma-derived albumin will be minimal due to limited indications [2] - **Long-term Outlook**: Hualan expects human plasma albumin to maintain its usage habits and cost advantages, mitigating concerns about recombinant albumin's threat to the industry [2] Growth Drivers - **Plasma Collection Stations**: Hualan is expanding its raw material supply through the ramp-up of seven nearly-approved plasma collection stations, which are expected to drive growth in plasma products [4] - **Biosimilar Approval**: Hualan Gene, in which Hualan holds a 40% stake, received approval for a bevacizumab biosimilar, generating Rmb58.9 million in revenue for 1H25, although this will not be consolidated into Hualan's financial statements [3] Investment Outlook - **Rating**: The company is rated as a "Buy" with a target price of Rmb19, indicating an upside potential of 8% from the current price of Rmb17.60 [11] - **Valuation Methodology**: The target price is based on a 5-year exit P/E of 18.1x applied to 2025E EPS, referencing a global peer P/E of 19x and a 5-year earnings CAGR of 10% [10] - **Risks**: Key risks include stricter controls on albumin prescriptions, regulatory restrictions affecting IVIG pricing, rising accounts receivable days leading to asset impairments, and intensified competition in the flu vaccine market [10] Revised Estimates - **Revenue Estimates**: Slight revisions made to revenue estimates for 2025E (Rmb4,843 million), 2026E (Rmb5,257 million), and 2027E (Rmb5,589 million), reflecting a decrease of 4.5%, 4.8%, and 5.0% respectively [8] Conclusion - Hualan Biological Engineering is positioned for growth in the plasma products sector, supported by regulatory approvals and expansion of collection capabilities. The company maintains a positive long-term outlook despite competitive pressures and pricing challenges.

Core Viewpoint - ADMA Biologics and Grifols are prominent players in the plasma-derived therapies market, each with unique strengths and growth prospects, making stock selection challenging [1][2]. Company Overview ADMA Biologics - ADMA specializes in plasma-derived biologics for treating immune deficiencies and preventing infectious diseases, with three FDA-approved products: Bivigam, Asceniv, and Nabi-HB [3][6]. - Asceniv, the lead product, is a plasma-derived IVIG that contains polyclonal antibodies to neutralize microbes [4][5]. - The company anticipates significant revenue growth from Asceniv, driven by record demand and plans for a new R&D program, SG-001, which could generate $300-500 million in annual revenues [6]. Grifols - Grifols is a global leader in plasma-derived medicines, developing a wide range of biological therapies targeting various immunological conditions [7][8]. - The company reported sales of €7.2 billion in 2024, reflecting a 10.3% increase, and is recognized as the largest producer of A1PI [9][10]. - Grifols has a diverse portfolio and is positioned for consistent growth due to strong demand and operational execution [11]. Financial Estimates ADMA Biologics - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for ADMA's 2025 sales indicates an 18.61% year-over-year increase, with EPS expected to improve by 36.73% [12]. - Recent estimate revisions show a decline in EPS estimates for 2025 but an increase for 2026 [13]. Grifols - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Grifols' 2025 sales suggests a 3.78% increase, with EPS expected to rise by 296% [12]. - EPS estimates for both 2025 and 2026 have seen upward revisions in the past 60 days [15]. Price Performance and Valuation - Year-to-date, ADMA shares have increased by 15.9%, outperforming Grifols' 10.6% rise, while the industry has declined by 4.1% [16]. - In terms of valuation, ADMA trades at 25.48X forward earnings, significantly higher than Grifols' 7.19X [16]. Investment Recommendation - ADMA shows steady growth driven by Asceniv demand, while Grifols, with a broader portfolio and better valuation, is considered a more favorable investment choice at present [20][21][22].