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Should You Sell Palantir Stock After Its Post-Earnings Pop? The Answer May Surprise You.
The Motley Foolยท 2025-08-10 09:14
Core Insights - Palantir Technologies has demonstrated impressive stock performance, with a 28% increase in the last month and nearly 600% over the past year, leading to a market capitalization exceeding $400 billion [2][6] - The company's revenue growth has accelerated significantly, reaching 48% year-over-year last quarter, with an annualized run rate of $4 billion, and profit margins have improved to 27% [5][6] - Palantir's recent success is attributed to its AI-focused software, which has allowed for larger contracts and increased momentum in both commercial and government sectors [5][6] Revenue and Growth - In 2023, Palantir's revenue growth had slowed to around 12% year-over-year, but the introduction of AI technology has revitalized its growth trajectory [4] - The company closed 42 deals worth $10 million or more in the last quarter, indicating strong future revenue potential [6][11] Valuation Context - Palantir's current market cap of $425 billion results in a price-to-sales ratio of 132, significantly higher than other premium software companies like Shopify, which has a P/S ratio of just over 20 [7][8] - This extreme valuation raises concerns about the sustainability of its stock price, as it may require many years of strong double-digit revenue growth to justify its current market cap [9][12] Future Outlook - There is potential for Palantir to maintain approximately 50% revenue growth in the coming years, particularly with a 93% year-over-year growth in U.S. commercial revenue [11] - However, the finite nature of enterprise and government software budgets suggests that growth may eventually slow down, posing a risk to long-term stock performance [12][14]