Core Insights - The industrial sector is gaining attention due to geopolitical tensions and the impact of AI on automation, which is expected to drive efficiency but faces an adoption gap [1][2] - Macroeconomic conditions are improving, with the IMF projecting global growth of 3.3% for 2026, which may benefit US companies with a global presence [3] Industrial Sector Developments - The takeover of Venezuela's oil resources by Donald Trump has brought the industrial sector back into focus, particularly in Aerospace & Defense [1] - A report from Redwood Software indicates that while 98% of manufacturers are considering AI automation, only 20% feel fully prepared for large-scale deployment, suggesting a gradual adoption of AI in the industrial sector [2] Stock Analysis Methodology - The analysis focused on identifying the 10 most undervalued industrial stocks with a market cap of at least $2 billion and a forward P/E ratio below 15, representing a 40% discount to the sector's average forward P/E of over 25 [6] - Stocks were ranked based on analysts' and hedge funds' bullishness, with potential upside calculated as of January 21 [7] Notable Stocks - **Gates Industrial Corporation plc (NYSE:GTES)**: - Potential upside of 15.7% with a forward P/E of 14.72 and 34 hedge fund holders [9] - Analysts from RBC Capital and Citi have reiterated Buy ratings, with price targets suggesting further upside of 15.7% and 22.86% respectively [10][11] - Barclays maintained its price target, indicating an 11.5% upside [12] - **ABM Industries Incorporated (NYSE:ABM)**: - Potential upside of 16.74% with a forward P/E of 10.52 and 24 hedge fund holders [14] - Truist Securities downgraded the stock to Hold, lowering its target price due to normalizing trends in its Business & Industry segment [14] - UBS also downgraded the stock, citing limited flexibility for capital deployment and a flat margin trajectory [15]

Core Insights - ABM reported record quarterly revenue of $2.3 billion for Q4 2025, reflecting a 5.4% increase year-over-year, driven by 4.8% organic growth and contributions from acquisitions [2][4][10] - The company achieved a full-year revenue of $8.7 billion, marking a 4.6% increase from the previous year, with all segments showing organic growth [10][11] - Adjusted EPS for Q4 was $0.88, unchanged from the previous year, while adjusted EBITDA was $124.2 million, slightly down from $125.6 million [4][8][12] Financial Performance - Q4 net income was $34.8 million, or $0.56 per diluted share, a significant improvement from a net loss of $(11.7) million in the prior year [4][6] - Full-year net income reached $162.4 million, or $2.59 per diluted share, compared to $81.4 million, or $1.28 per diluted share, in the previous year [11][12] - Adjusted EBITDA margin for Q4 was 5.6%, down from 6.0% in the prior year, impacted by prior year self-insurance adjustments [8][12] Segment Performance - Technical Solutions led revenue growth with a 16% increase, followed by Manufacturing & Distribution at 8%, and Aviation at 7% [5][10] - Business & Industry and Education segments each reported 2% revenue growth, demonstrating resilience in their respective markets [10][11] - For the full year, Technical Solutions grew 10%, Aviation 8%, Manufacturing & Distribution 4%, and both Business & Industry and Education 2% [10][11] Shareholder Returns - The company repurchased $73.0 million of common stock in Q4 and $121.3 million for the full year, reducing the outstanding share count by 4% [2][16] - A 9% increase in the quarterly dividend was approved, raising it to $0.29 per common share, marking the 58th consecutive year of annual dividend increases [17][18] Outlook - For fiscal 2026, ABM expects organic revenue growth of 3% to 4%, with an additional point of growth anticipated from the WGNSTAR acquisition [18] - Adjusted EPS is projected to be in the range of $3.85 to $4.15, excluding impacts from prior year self-insurance adjustments [18]

Core Viewpoint - ABM is set to release its fiscal fourth quarter and full year 2025 financial results on December 17, 2025, before market open [1] Group 1: Financial Results Announcement - ABM will host a quarterly conference call on December 17, 2025, at 8:30 AM (ET) for interested parties [2] - The conference call will be accessible via audio webcast on the company's website or by phone [2] - A supplemental presentation will accompany the webcast [2] Group 2: Replay Information - A replay of the conference call will be available approximately three hours after the webcast until December 31, 2025 [3] - The replay can be accessed by phone using a specific ID [3] - A link to the archived webcast will be available on the ABM website for 90 days [3] Group 3: Company Overview - ABM is one of the largest providers of integrated facility, engineering, and infrastructure solutions globally [4] - The company employs over 100,000 team members and generates over $8 billion in annual revenue [5] - ABM serves various market sectors, including commercial real estate, aviation, and manufacturing, focusing on innovative technologies and sustainable solutions [5]

Core Insights - ABM Industries reported strong revenue performance despite missing earnings expectations, showcasing resilience in a competitive market [1][2][6] Financial Performance - Earnings per share (EPS) for the fiscal third quarter was $0.82, falling short of the estimated $0.95, representing a negative surprise of 13.68% [2][6] - Revenue reached $2.22 billion, exceeding expectations of $2.15 billion, marking a 6.2% increase from the previous year [2][3][6] - Organic growth contributed 5% to the revenue increase, demonstrating the company's ability to generate higher sales despite challenges [3] Profitability and Cash Flow - Net income surged to $41.8 million, translating to earnings of $0.67 per diluted share [3] - Operating cash flow increased by 120.1% to $175 million, while free cash flow grew by 134.3% to $150.2 million [4][6] Shareholder Returns and Financial Health - The board approved a $150 million increase in share repurchase authorization, reflecting confidence in future prospects [4] - The current ratio of 1.55 indicates a strong liquidity position to cover short-term liabilities [4] Valuation Metrics - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is approximately 36.14, with a price-to-sales ratio of 0.33 [5] - The enterprise value to sales ratio is 0.52, and the enterprise value to operating cash flow ratio is notably high at 123.73 [5] - The debt-to-equity ratio stands at 0.91, indicating a moderate level of debt compared to equity [5]

Core Points - ABM will release its financial results for the fiscal third quarter of 2025 on September 5, 2025, before market open [1] - A quarterly conference call will be held on the same day at 8:30 AM (ET) for interested parties [2] - The company provides a wide range of facility solutions and has over $8 billion in annual revenue [5] Company Overview - ABM is one of the largest providers of integrated facility, engineering, and infrastructure solutions globally [4] - The company employs over 100,000 team members who deliver essential services to enhance the occupant experience [4] - ABM serves various market sectors, including commercial real estate, aviation, mission critical, and manufacturing and distribution [5] Financial Information - The financial results will be accessible via a live audio webcast and a supplemental presentation will accompany it [2] - A replay of the conference call will be available approximately three hours after the live event and can be accessed until September 19, 2025 [3]

Financial Results Announcement - ABM will release its financial results for the fiscal second quarter of 2025 on June 6, 2025, before market open [1] - A quarterly conference call will be held on the same day at 8:30 AM (ET) [2] Conference Call Details - The conference call can be accessed via audio webcast on the Company's website or by dialing specific numbers for domestic and international participants [2] - A supplemental presentation will accompany the webcast [2] - A replay of the conference call will be available approximately three hours after the live event and can be accessed until June 20, 2025 [3] Company Overview - ABM is one of the largest providers of integrated facility, engineering, and infrastructure solutions globally [4] - The company has over 100,000 team members and generates over $8 billion in annual revenue [5] - ABM serves various market sectors, including commercial real estate, aviation, mission critical, and manufacturing and distribution [5] - The company focuses on innovative technologies and sustainable solutions to enhance facilities and empower clients [5]