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QBTS Soars 168% in 2025: Should You Buy for 2026 or Wait for Pullback?
ZACKS· 2025-12-03 21:01
Core Insights - As 2025 approaches, investors should focus on pure-play quantum computing companies, with D-Wave Quantum (QBTS) being a standout choice due to its transition from theoretical technology to real business applications and growing revenues [1][2] Stock Performance - Year-to-date, D-Wave's shares have increased by 167.8%, significantly outperforming the broader industry, sector, and S&P 500, which grew by 5.9%, 26.6%, and 18.1% respectively [5] Commercial Adoption - The primary growth driver for QBTS is the accelerating commercial adoption of its annealing quantum platform, which is now providing measurable value in sectors such as logistics, manufacturing, financial services, and defense [6] - The third-quarter 2025 results indicated a notable increase in production-grade workloads, with customers transitioning from proofs-of-concept to multi-year commitments, signaling a shift towards predictable revenues [6] Technology Roadmap - D-Wave's technology roadmap is a significant growth driver, with advancements in its next-generation annealing systems that will enhance qubit count, connectivity, and coherence, allowing customers to tackle more complex problems [7][8] - The company is also enhancing its hybrid solvers, API tools, and cloud access, facilitating easier enterprise adoption and scaling of quantum workloads [8] Challenges - Despite rising revenues and a growing customer base, QBTS faces challenges with operating leverage, as high operating expenses lead to elevated adjusted EBITDA losses, obscuring progress in commercial operations [9] - The company's cost structure, particularly in R&D, continues to outpace revenue growth, hindering a clear path to sustainable profitability [9] Technical Analysis - D-Wave's stock is currently trading below its 50-day moving average but above its 200-day moving average, indicating short-term weakness while maintaining a long-term uptrend [10] Investment Outlook - The long-term narrative for D-Wave is strong, characterized by rapid commercial adoption and a promising technology roadmap, but the current stock setup suggests that investors may benefit from waiting for a more favorable entry point due to the lack of operating leverage and rising costs [13]