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Is StoneCo's 2027 TPV Target Achievable Amid Rising Competition?
ZACKS· 2025-07-21 16:51
Core Insights - StoneCo Ltd. is strategically focusing on the micro, small, and medium business (MSMB) segment in Brazil's digital payments landscape, reporting a 17% year-over-year growth in MSMB total payment volume (TPV) to R$119.5 billion in Q1 2025 [1][7] - The company’s bundling strategy has led to a significant increase in heavy users, rising to 38% from 26% year-over-year, indicating strong cross-sell momentum [2][7] - StoneCo projects a continued growth trajectory with MSMB TPV expected to exceed R$670 billion by 2027, reflecting a 14% compound annual growth rate (CAGR) [3][7] Company Performance - StoneCo's active MSMB client base increased by 17% year-over-year to 4.3 million, demonstrating robust traction despite macroeconomic challenges [1][7] - The company has seen a 95% year-over-year growth in PIX transactions, which are replacing traditional debit transactions and enhancing client deposits [2] - StoneCo's shares have surged 71.5% year-to-date, outperforming the broader industry and the S&P 500 Index [6] Peer Comparison - PagSeguro Digital Ltd. reported an 11.2% year-over-year increase in MSMB TPV to R$95.2 billion, with MSMB segment accounting for 74% of its total TPV in Q1 2025 [4] - MercadoLibre, Inc. achieved a total payment volume of $58.3 billion, up 43% year-over-year, with significant growth in active fintech users [5] Financial Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for StoneCo's 2025 EPS suggests a 10.37% growth year-over-year, while the 2026 estimate indicates a 16.11% increase [8] - StoneCo's current forward 12-month P/E ratio is 8.42X, significantly below the industry average of 40.18X, indicating a potentially undervalued stock [10]
STNE Stock Rises 108% Year to Date: Still a Buy or Time to Wait?
ZACKS· 2025-07-10 16:00
Key Takeaways STNE stock has jumped 108.7% YTD, outperforming peers like PAGS and DLO by a wide margin. StoneCo's MSMB client base, PIX volumes and retail deposits all posted solid Q1 growth. STNE trades at 10.67X forward P/E, well below its three-year high and industry average of 40.58X.StoneCo Ltd. (STNE) shares have surged 108.7%, significantly outperforming the Internet–Software industry and the S&P 500, which rose around 16.2% and 5.2%, respectively. This impressive rally also puts StoneCo ahead of m ...