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CCJ vs. URG: Which Uranium Stock is the Better Buy Today?
ZACKSยท 2025-09-24 16:31
Core Viewpoint - The long-term outlook for uranium remains strong, driven by increasing global nuclear power capacity and strategic initiatives from countries like the U.S. and India to expand their nuclear energy capabilities [2][28]. Group 1: Cameco Corporation (CCJ) - Cameco is one of the world's largest uranium suppliers, with operations in mining and fuel services, and accounted for 16% of global uranium production in 2024 [4][6]. - In the first half of 2025, Cameco's total revenues increased by 35% year over year to CAD 1,666 million ($1,184 million), with uranium revenues up 27% to CAD 1,324 million ($941 million) [6][9]. - The company expects its share of adjusted EBITDA from Westinghouse to be between $525-$580 million for 2025, reflecting growth from its involvement in nuclear reactor construction projects [11]. - Cameco's share of production expectation from the McArthur River mine has been revised to 9.8-10.5 million pounds due to development delays, while the expected share from the Cigar Lake mine remains at 9.8 million pounds [8][12]. - The company has signed a long-term agreement to supply natural uranium hexafluoride (UF6) to Slovakia's largest electricity producer, marking its entry into the Slovak market [13]. - Cameco's stock has appreciated by 69% in 2025, reflecting the sharp price rebound in uranium [23]. Group 2: Ur-Energy (URG) - Ur-Energy operates the Lost Creek project in Wyoming, which has produced 3 million pounds of uranium since 2013, and is advancing construction at the Shirley Basin [14][16]. - In the first half of 2025, Ur-Energy's revenues jumped 124% to $10.4 million, but the company reported a net loss of seven cents per share [16][20]. - The company has eight multi-year sales agreements with major nuclear and utility companies, with annual delivery amounts ranging from 440,000 to 1,300,000 pounds of uranium from 2025 through 2033 [18]. - Ur-Energy's total sales in 2025 are projected at 440,000 pounds of uranium, leading to revenues of $27.1 million [17]. - Ur-Energy's stock has risen by 46% in 2025, but its revenues are expected to decline by 7.5% year over year in fiscal 2025 [20][23]. Group 3: Comparative Analysis - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Cameco's 2025 revenues implies year-over-year growth of 11.3%, while Ur-Energy's estimate indicates a decline of 7.5% [19][20]. - Cameco's forward price-to-sales multiple is 15.00X, significantly above its five-year median of 6.74X, while Ur-Energy's is at 5.72X, below its median of 7.70X [26]. - Both companies are positioned to benefit from a bullish long-term uranium outlook, but Cameco offers stronger earnings visibility and stability due to its diversified operations and fixed-price contracts [28][29].