Core Insights - Boyd Gaming Corporation (BYD) is set to report its fourth-quarter 2025 results on February 5, with earnings per share (EPS) expected at $1.88, reflecting a 4.1% decline from the previous year [1][2][8] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for revenues is approximately $1.01 billion, indicating a 3.3% decrease year-over-year [2][8] Revenue Drivers - The anticipated revenue for Boyd Gaming's fourth quarter is likely supported by a strong core customer base and improving trends among retail players, which have continued from the third quarter into October [3] - Gaming volumes are expected to benefit from steady visitation across Las Vegas Locals and Midwest & South properties, aided by disciplined marketing and efficient operations [3] Performance Challenges - Despite the underlying strength in gaming play, revenues are projected to decline year-over-year primarily due to weakness in the destination business, particularly in hotel and related non-gaming activities [5] - Management has noted softness in destination visitation, which has negatively impacted hotel occupancy and ancillary spending, with the Orleans property being a significant drag on performance [5] Margin Pressures - Earnings pressure in the quarter is attributed to margin headwinds stemming from the same destination-related weaknesses, as hotel and convention business typically yield higher margins for Boyd [6] - Ongoing renovations and construction at properties like Suncoast and the Orleans have likely created operational inefficiencies, limiting capacity and profitability, despite management's efforts to control costs [6] Earnings Prediction - The current model does not predict an earnings beat for Boyd Gaming, with an Earnings ESP of -1.57% and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) [7][9]