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Prediction: This Stock Could Be the Biggest Winner From Alphabet's Spending Spree
The Motley Fool· 2026-02-11 00:16
Core Viewpoint - Alphabet's significant increase in capital expenditure (capex) to between $175 billion and $185 billion for 2026 is expected to benefit Broadcom substantially, positioning it as a major winner from this spending surge [1][2]. Group 1: Capital Expenditure Details - Alphabet's capex for 2026 is a substantial rise from $91 billion in 2025, with approximately 60% allocated to servers and 40% to long-duration assets like data centers and networking equipment [1][2]. - The spending on servers will primarily focus on semiconductor chips, while long-duration assets will include networking equipment such as Ethernet switches and fiber optic cables [2]. Group 2: Broadcom's Role and Revenue Potential - Broadcom co-develops Alphabet's tensor processing units (TPUs), essential for Alphabet's AI workloads, and earns around $13,000 in revenue for each chip produced [4]. - Broadcom is a leader in networking, with its Tomahawk Ethernet switches being the industry standard for large-scale data centers, contributing to higher gross margins compared to its custom AI ASIC chip business [5]. Group 3: Financial Impact and Growth Projections - Citigroup estimates indicate that Alphabet accounted for nearly $13 billion in Broadcom's ASIC revenue in fiscal 2025, representing about 17% of Alphabet's capex for that period [6]. - With Alphabet's increased focus on TPUs, Broadcom's TPU revenue from Alphabet could potentially double or triple next year, alongside a significant rise in networking revenue [6]. - Broadcom has secured a $21 billion order from Anthropic for TPUs to be delivered this year, which could lead to a doubling of its total revenue from $63.9 billion in fiscal 2026 [8].