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McKesson Bets on Oncology, Biopharma as It Streamlines Portfolio
ZACKSยท 2025-10-08 16:51
Core Insights - McKesson is redefining its role in the healthcare ecosystem by shifting focus from pharmaceutical distribution to higher-margin services in oncology, multispecialty care, and biopharma solutions [1] - The company aims for sustainable long-term growth through technology, automation, and specialized care while planning to separate its Medical-Surgical business to sharpen focus [1] Short-Term Growth Drivers - McKesson is experiencing strong momentum in pharmaceutical distribution and specialty therapy demand, with the U.S. pharmaceutical market projected to grow at a 7% CAGR from 2019 to 2029, and oncology spending expected to increase by 60% from 2025 to 2029 [2] - Management has guided for fiscal 2026 adjusted operating profit of $6.2-$6.4 billion, adjusted EPS of $38.05-$38.55, and free cash flow of $4.4-$4.8 billion, reflecting robust operating leverage supported by investments in distribution center automation [3] Long-Term Growth Drivers - McKesson's U.S. Oncology Network includes over 3,300 providers and supports 1.4 million patients annually, which is central to its strategy of integrating clinical care and biopharma services [6] - The company is leveraging technology platforms like Ontada and iKnowMed to enhance its specialty care value chain [7] - Emerging therapeutic modalities, particularly in cell and gene therapies, represent a significant growth opportunity, supported by investments in cold-chain infrastructure and automation [8] Medical-Surgical Separation - McKesson plans to separate its Medical-Surgical business, which generated $11.4 billion in fiscal 2025 revenues and $1.1 billion in adjusted EBITDA, starting with an IPO of a minority stake and a full separation by the second half of calendar 2027 [11][12] Challenges - McKesson faces regulatory and legal risks, particularly related to historical opioid litigation, and operational challenges in integrating recent acquisitions like PRISM Vision [15] - The competitive landscape in specialty distribution and oncology services is intensifying, with risks associated with large-scale technology deployments and the pace of regulatory approvals for cell and gene therapies [16] Peer Comparison - McKesson is diversifying to improve margins and streamline operations, similar to peers Cardinal Health and Cencora, who are also focusing on higher-margin oncology and specialty care [17][21] - Cardinal Health is building a multi-platform healthcare solutions portfolio, while Cencora is extending its business model to include high-growth specialty services [18][22] Conclusion - McKesson is at an inflection point, targeting higher-margin growth avenues while shedding non-core assets, with strong near-term earnings momentum and long-term strategic initiatives [26][27] - The planned separation of Medical-Surgical highlights management's intent to sharpen focus, presenting a balanced opportunity for investors as the company evolves into a specialty-driven healthcare solutions leader [28]