30 November 2025 | 10:14AM HKT Equity Research Foxconn Industrial Internet (601138.SS): ASIC and diversifying AI servers trend to drive growth ahead; 2028E introduced; Buy We reiterate our positive view on FII and expect the company's comprehensive AI servers offerings and global production sites to secure its leading market position and continue to benefit in the rising ASIC AI servers trend. FII's ASIC AI servers are across leading US CSPs and enterprises, with shipment contribution toward 30% of AI serve ...

Summary of Foxconn Industrial Internet (FII) Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Foxconn Industrial Internet (FII) - **Ticker**: 601138.SS - **Target Price**: Rmb77.2 - **Recommendation**: Buy Key Industry Insights - **AI Servers Market**: FII is expected to gain market share in AI servers due to strong R&D and execution, positioning it as a leader in delivering next-generation rack-level AI servers [1][5] - **Modularized AI Data Centers**: Partnership with TECO is anticipated to accelerate the deployment of AI data centers, supporting FII's AI server shipments [1][5] - **Networking Equipment**: Increased demand for high-speed connections is expected to drive up shipments of networking equipment and enhance dollar content through product mix upgrades towards 400G/800G [1][5] - **Smartphone Market**: The smartphone market is entering a peak season with strong new model ramp-up expected in September [1][5] Financial Performance and Projections - **Revenue Growth**: FII's revenues are projected to increase significantly, with net income estimates raised by 3% for 2025, 3% for 2026, and 4% for 2027 due to higher AI infrastructure demand [1][5][8] - **Operating Expenses**: Operating expenses (opex) are expected to remain disciplined, leading to a lower opex ratio of 1.9% in 2025, 1.3% in 2026, and 1.2% in 2027, compared to 2.3% in 2Q25 [7][8] - **Earnings Revision**: The net income for 2025E is revised to Rmb33.632 billion, reflecting a 3% increase from previous estimates [8][9] Comparative Analysis - **Valuation Metrics**: The target P/E multiple has been raised to 29.4x from 26.9x, reflecting a positive market re-rating on AI servers supply chain and stronger fundamentals [9][15] - **Peer Comparison**: FII's projected 2026E trading P/E is 24.5, compared to peers like Hon Hai at 13.3 and Gigabyte at 10.2, indicating a premium valuation based on growth prospects [11] Risks and Considerations - **Demand Risks**: Potential risks include worse-than-expected demand and profit from the AI server business, as well as competition affecting iPhone component business expansion [15] - **Capacity Ramp-Up**: Slower-than-expected capacity ramp-up in new factories could impact growth [15] - **iPhone Shipments**: Lower-than-expected iPhone shipments could affect FII's revenue, given its role as a component supplier [15] Conclusion - FII is positioned for strong growth driven by advancements in AI servers and networking equipment, with disciplined cost management supporting profitability. The company is recommended as a Buy with a target price reflecting significant upside potential.