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Liquid Cooling and 12-14-Month Build: Durable Bets for APLD Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-12-08 14:56
Core Insights - Applied Digital (APLD) is transitioning to AI data centers with a focus on long-duration leases and a finance-and-build model that is repeatable [1][9] - The company emphasizes water-efficient liquid cooling, speed to delivery, and secured supply as key design principles [1][2] - APLD is shifting from low-margin fit-out projects to recurring rental income as buildings reach lease revenue milestones [1][9] Business Strategy - APLD is targeting high-density AI workloads with direct-to-chip liquid cooling, achieving a design Power Usage Effectiveness (PUE) of 1.18 and near-zero water usage [2] - The company is leveraging over 200 days of natural cooling in the Dakotas to enhance efficiency and cooling capabilities [2] - APLD is compressing build timelines from approximately 24 months to 12-14 months, with around 700 MW currently under construction [5][6] Lease Agreements - The Ellendale (Polaris Forge 1) project has expanded to a fully leased 400 MW with CoreWeave, generating approximately $11 billion in contracted lease revenues over 15 years [3] - APLD signed a lease for 200 MW at Polaris Forge 2 with an investment-grade hyperscaler, valued at about $5 billion over 15 years, with potential for an additional 800 MW [4] Financial Performance - APLD shares have increased by 227.9% over the past 12 months, outperforming the broader Zacks Finance sector and competitors like Riot Platforms and Equinix [7] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fiscal 2026 revenues is projected at $280.9 million, indicating a 27% growth from fiscal 2025 [8] Competitive Landscape - The competition is intensifying as Riot Platforms expands into high-performance computing, targeting over 1 GW for AI workloads [10] - Equinix operates a global network of over 260 data centers, increasing competition for AI-ready capacity and timelines [10]
Major Market Moves: Pfizer’s Antitrust Battle, Eaton’s AI Acquisition, and Fed Rate Debate
Stock Market News· 2025-11-03 13:08
Group 1: Pfizer's Antitrust Lawsuit - Pfizer has filed a second federal antitrust lawsuit against Metsera and Novo Nordisk, claiming that Novo Nordisk's proposal to acquire Metsera is an "anticompetitive action" aimed at maintaining its dominance in the GLP-1 treatment market [2][3] - The lawsuit alleges that the proposed acquisition, valued at up to $8.5 billion or $9 billion, violates Section 7 of the Clayton Act and Sections 1 and 2 of the Sherman Act [2][3] - Pfizer is seeking remedies including injunctive relief to prevent the deal from proceeding, following its own $7.3 billion proposed acquisition of Metsera, which has received early antitrust clearance from the FTC [3] Group 2: Eaton's Acquisition in AI Data Center Market - Eaton has announced its agreement to acquire Boyd Thermal for $9.5 billion, targeting the growing AI data center market [4] - Boyd Thermal specializes in liquid cooling technology, which is essential for managing heat in advanced AI infrastructure, and is projected to achieve sales of $1.7 billion in 2026 [5] - The acquisition is expected to enhance Eaton's data center portfolio and become accretive to its adjusted earnings in the second year post-closing [5] Group 3: Federal Reserve's Monetary Policy - Federal Reserve Governor Miran has expressed concerns that the current monetary policy is too restrictive, advocating for a series of 50 basis point interest rate cuts to mitigate risks to the labor market [6][7] - Miran highlighted the importance of a forward-looking approach in policy decisions, suggesting that being overly data-dependent can lead to backward-looking policies [7] Group 4: Global Economic Developments - Alphabet has initiated an eight-part US dollar bond sale, indicating ongoing capital market activity from the tech giant [10] - In Germany, auto parts supplier ZF is preparing for furlough measures and has announced plans to cut up to 14,000 jobs by 2028 due to supply chain challenges [11] - In the commodities market, CME Group's gold prices have consolidated below the 20-day simple moving average, currently near $4,095/oz [13]
Weird: Why Are SMCI Margins So Low?
Forbes· 2025-05-15 12:10
Core Viewpoint - Super Micro Computer (SMCI) stock has surged over 33% in two trading days due to an analyst upgrade and a $20 billion partnership with DataVolt, but the company faces critical issues with low and declining margins [1][2]. Financial Performance - As of Q3 FY'25, Super Micro's gross margin is 9.6%, down from 11.8% in Q2 FY'25 and 15.5% in Q3 FY'24, while net margins are under 3%, significantly lower than industry peers like HP Enterprise and Nvidia [2]. - Diluted EPS for Super Micro declined to $0.17 in Q3 FY'25, down from $0.51 in the previous quarter and $0.66 a year ago [2]. Revenue Growth vs. Margin Compression - Revenue increased by 19.4% year-over-year last quarter, with projections of over 45% growth this fiscal year and another 35% next year, but low margins may hinder meaningful earnings gains [3]. - If margins remain low, Super Micro risks scaling a low-margin business that could be challenging to manage without creating shareholder value [3]. Technological Advancements - Super Micro has successfully implemented liquid cooling technology at scale, overcoming reliability concerns, which may provide a competitive edge in the AI hardware market despite higher upfront costs and margin pressures [4]. Corporate Governance and Controversies - The company has faced controversies, including allegations of accounting irregularities and scrutiny from short-sellers, which may necessitate cautious investment approaches despite recent improvements in financial filings [5].