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CrowdStrike (CRWD) Price Target Reiterated After Solid Q3 Results
Yahoo Finance· 2025-12-20 08:59
Core Insights - CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:CRWD) is recognized as a top high-growth stock, with DA Davidson maintaining a Buy rating and a price target of $580 following strong fiscal third-quarter results [1] Financial Performance - The company reported a 23% year-over-year growth in annual recurring revenue (ARR), an increase from 20% in the previous quarter [1] - Net new ARR for the quarter reached $265 million, surpassing consensus estimates of $238 million [1] - For the fourth quarter, CrowdStrike anticipates net new ARR of approximately $301 million, exceeding the average estimate of $290 million, indicating a 23% year-over-year increase [2] Future Guidance - CrowdStrike's guidance suggests a more than 50% increase in net new ARR for the second half of fiscal year 2026 and over 20% growth in fiscal year 2027 from a higher base [2] - The company reaffirmed its fiscal year 2027 goals, targeting a year-over-year net new ARR increase of more than 20% [3] Market Reaction - Despite the strong financial results, CRWD shares experienced a modest decline in after-hours trading, attributed to "very high expectations" [3] Company Overview - CrowdStrike provides cybersecurity services and products aimed at preventing breaches, including cloud-delivered protection across endpoints, threat hunting, managed security services, IT operations management, and log management [3]
中国网络安全_需求下行空间有限;成本控制推动盈利复苏-China Cybersecurity_ Limited downside to demand; cost control drives earnings recovery
2025-11-25 01:19
Summary of Key Points from the Earnings Call Industry Overview - **Industry**: Cybersecurity - **Key Companies**: DBAPP, QAX, Venustech Core Insights and Arguments Demand and Earnings Recovery - Demand pressure persists in the cybersecurity sector, but earnings recovery is driven by cost control measures implemented by companies like DBAPP and QAX. DBAPP's revenue grew by 6% year-over-year (y-o-y) in 3Q25, while QAX's revenue increased by 18% y-o-y, supported by demand recovery from downstream industries such as telecom and defense [2][12][37] - Venustech experienced a contraction in revenue and earnings in 3Q25 due to a decline in government business and exits from low-margin projects [2][3] Financial Performance - DBAPP's net loss narrowed by 80% y-o-y in 3Q25, attributed to effective expense control [12] - QAX's net profit reached RMB153 million in 3Q25, up 143% y-o-y, despite a decline in gross margin to 52% due to pricing pressure [37][38] - Venustech's share price declined by 4% year-to-date, contrasting with DBAPP and QAX's share price increases of 34% and 42%, respectively [2] Future Outlook - The overall recovery timeline for cybersecurity spending remains uncertain, but further downside is limited due to a low base and increased adoption of cloud and AI technologies, which are expected to boost demand for data security and managed security services [2] - Employee reductions and expense control measures in cybersecurity firms are anticipated to gradually reduce net losses and drive earnings recovery [2] Earnings Revisions - DBAPP's revenue estimates for 2025-27 were lowered by 2-3% due to muted traditional cybersecurity demand, while earnings were raised by 6-7% due to stricter expense control [3] - QAX's revenue estimates were raised by 4-5% for 2025-27 following a revenue beat in 3Q25, but earnings for 2026 were lowered by 143% due to a low base effect [3] - Venustech's revenue and earnings estimates were also lowered due to weaker demand from government sectors [3] Investment Ratings and Target Prices - **DBAPP**: Maintained a Buy rating with a target price (TP) of RMB71.00, reflecting strong expense control and a leading position in data and cloud security [4][25] - **QAX**: Maintained a Hold rating, with the TP raised to RMB36.00 from RMB32.80, indicating a cautious outlook despite recent revenue growth [4][49] - **Venustech**: Hold rating maintained with an unchanged TP, reflecting concerns over its performance [4] Additional Considerations - **Regulatory Environment**: Favorable policies supporting cybersecurity and data security have been released since October 2022, which may drive better downstream demand [29][54] - **Competition**: Intense competition in the cybersecurity field may pressure prices and margins, particularly in a weak demand environment [29][54] - **Macroeconomic Risks**: A weaker-than-expected macroeconomic environment could lead to reduced cybersecurity spending from downstream clients [29] Financial Metrics - DBAPP's 3Q25 revenue was RMB472 million, with a gross profit of RMB278 million, reflecting a 10% increase y-o-y [13] - QAX's 3Q25 revenue was RMB1,096 million, with a gross profit of RMB566 million, showing a 14% increase y-o-y [39] This summary encapsulates the key points from the earnings call, focusing on the performance and outlook of the cybersecurity industry and the specific companies involved.