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This Could Be 1 of the Best Pharmaceutical Stock-Buying Opportunities I've Seen in Years
Yahoo Finance· 2026-01-29 00:23
Core Viewpoint - Pfizer has faced significant challenges over the past three years, with its stock performance declining after the initial success during the COVID-19 pandemic, and it is currently projected to have a revenue rebound in the future [1][2]. Financial Performance - Projected revenue for 2025 is between $61 billion and $64 billion, significantly lower than the record-breaking revenue of over $100 billion in 2022 [2]. - Despite setbacks, Pfizer could potentially add $10 billion or more in new revenue by 2030 through new drug developments [4]. Drug Development and Acquisitions - Pfizer is focusing on developing several new billion-dollar oncology drugs by 2030 and has acquired a weight-loss drug through a $10 billion acquisition of Metsera, which targets a market potentially worth over $150 billion annually [3]. - Recent acquisitions, including Arena Pharmaceuticals in 2022 and a $43 billion deal for Seagen in 2023, are expected to enhance Pfizer's drug pipeline, although these prospects will not yield results until after 2030 [5]. Investment Considerations - Investors may consider waiting for more clarity on Pfizer's growth opportunities, but as these become clearer, the stock price may increase, reducing the current attractive forward-looking dividend yield of 6.7% [6]. - Pfizer was not included in a recent list of the top 10 stocks recommended for investment, indicating a cautious sentiment among analysts regarding its immediate investment potential [7].
恒瑞医药- 2024 年第四季度营收和利润均超预期
2025-04-03 04:16
Summary of Hengrui's 4Q24 Earnings Call Company Overview - **Company**: Hengrui (Ticker: 600276.SS) - **Industry**: Health Care & Pharmaceuticals - **Focus**: Development and commercialization of innovative and high-quality drugs, particularly in oncology and surgical drugs [11][12] Financial Performance - **FY24 Results**: - Revenue increased by **22.6%** year-on-year to **CNY 27.98 billion**, exceeding estimates by **3.8%** and **3.5%** compared to Bloomberg consensus [1] - Net profit rose by **47.3%** to **CNY 6.34 billion**, driven by approximately **CNY 2 billion** in out-license revenue, surpassing estimates by **5.2%** and **6.2%** [1] - 4Q24 sales grew by **34.3%** year-on-year to **CNY 7.8 billion**, with earnings increasing by **107.2%** to **CNY 1.7 billion** [1] Segment Performance - **Oncology and Metabolism Drugs**: - Sales of oncology drugs rose by **19.4%** to **CNY 14.6 billion** - New segments such as metabolism and cardiovascular drugs saw significant growth, with sales increasing by **61.7%** to **CNY 1.8 billion** [2] Cost Management - Selling expenses ratio decreased to **29.8%**, down **3.4 percentage points** year-on-year, which contributed to the earnings beat [2] Licensing and R&D - Out-licensed global rights for HRS-5346 to MSD, with potential upfront payment of **USD 200 million** and up to **USD 1.77 billion** in milestone payments, indicating strong R&D capabilities [3] - The company has invested over **USD 5 billion** in R&D, with **18 innovative products** marketed and **90 innovative candidates** in the R&D stage [11] Valuation and Target Price - Target price raised from **CNY 51.31** to **CNY 53.45**, maintaining a Neutral rating due to demanding valuation [4][6] - Current valuation metrics include a **P/E ratio** of **49.1** for FY25F and an **EV/EBITDA** of **40.6** [5] Market Outlook - The company will discuss the impact of recent favorable policies, FY25E clinical catalysts, and H-share issuance status in the upcoming earnings call [4] Risks and Considerations - **Downside Risks**: Potential price cuts in the next round of volume-based procurement (VBP) and narrowed valuation premium if H-shares are issued [12] - **Upside Risks**: Acceleration in growth and positive developments in R&D or business development [12] Key Financial Metrics - **Revenue Forecasts**: - FY25F revenue projected at **CNY 30.48 billion**, FY26F at **CNY 34.37 billion** [5] - **Net Profit Forecasts**: - FY25F net profit expected to be **CNY 7.09 billion**, FY26F at **CNY 8.63 billion** [5] Conclusion - Hengrui's strong financial performance in FY24, driven by innovative drug sales and effective cost management, positions the company favorably in the health care and pharmaceuticals sector. The outlook remains cautiously optimistic with potential growth opportunities and risks to monitor.