Core Viewpoint - NOV Inc. is expected to report a decline in both earnings and revenues for the fourth quarter of 2025, with earnings estimated at 25 cents per share and revenues at $2.17 billion, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of 39.02% and 5.89% respectively [1][8]. Group 1: Q3 Performance and Earnings History - In the last reported quarter, NOV missed earnings expectations with adjusted earnings per share of 11 cents, falling short of the consensus estimate of 24 cents, while revenues of $2.2 billion were up 1.9% from the consensus mark [2]. - The company has a mixed earnings surprise history, beating estimates three times in the last four quarters but missing once, with an average negative surprise of 16.09% [2]. Group 2: Factors Influencing Q4 Performance - NOV's revenue from the Energy Products and Services segment is projected to decline by 6.7% to $970 million, influenced by a seasonal slowdown in North American short-cycle oil activity and ongoing market challenges [4][5]. - The company anticipates a 5% to 7% year-over-year decline in consolidated revenues due to softening global drilling activity and tariffs impacting margins [4]. Group 3: Cost Management and Shareholder Returns - Despite short-term challenges, NOV aims to return 50% of excess free cash flow to shareholders in 2025, and a decrease in costs may support its bottom line [6]. - The company expects reductions in costs of goods sold, selling, general and administrative expenses, and depreciation and amortization, which could positively impact earnings [6][8]. Group 4: Earnings ESP and Zacks Rank - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for NOV's earnings has remained unchanged over the past 30 days, indicating no revisions, and the Earnings ESP stands at 0.00%, suggesting uncertainty in predicting an earnings beat [3][9]. - NOV currently holds a Zacks Rank of 3, indicating a hold position [9].