Summary of BYDE (0285.HK) Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: BYDE (0285.HK) - **Market Cap**: HK$76.1 billion / $9.7 billion - **Enterprise Value**: HK$67.1 billion / $8.6 billion - **Industry**: Greater China Technology Key Points Industry and Market Dynamics - The global smartphone Total Addressable Market (TAM) for 2026E/27E has been reduced due to rising memory prices, impacting growth expectations for smartphone manufacturers [1][4] - Global leaders like Apple are expected to outperform due to their scale and consumer purchasing power, while Chinese brands face challenges due to price sensitivity [1][17] - Smartphone shipments are projected to decline by 6% YoY in 2026E, with a recovery of +2% YoY in 2027E [17] Company Performance and Financials - BYDE's revenue estimates have been revised down by 9%/11%/18% for 2025E/26E/27E, primarily due to lower revenues from Android smartphone assembly and casing [19] - Revenue projections for 2025E, 2026E, and 2027E are now Rmb 185,660 million, Rmb 201,492 million, and Rmb 217,307 million respectively [21] - Gross margin is expected to improve from 7.4% in 2025E to 8.9% in 2028E, driven by a shift towards higher-margin components [18][22] Business Segments - **Automotive Electronics**: Expected to grow at a CAGR of 23% from 2026E to 2028E, despite a projected 8% YoY decline in automotive shipments in 2H25 [18] - **Apple Assembly and Casing**: Revenue from Apple is expected to increase, reflecting market share gains despite the overall smartphone market challenges [19] - **Android Smartphone Assembly**: Revenue is expected to decline due to fierce competition and lower demand [19][22] Valuation and Rating Changes - Target price has been reduced to HK$40 from HK$53.08, reflecting slower growth and less relative upside compared to peers [1][26] - BYDE has been downgraded to a Neutral rating from Buy due to underperformance in the competitive smartphone market [1][26] Risks and Opportunities - **Upside Risks**: Better-than-expected smartphone demand, faster expansion into Apple and automotive electronics, and quicker contributions from new AI server businesses [1][26] - **Downside Risks**: Weaker smartphone market demand, increased competition in automotive electronics, and slower-than-expected growth in AI server components [31][32] Financial Metrics - **EPS**: Expected to grow from Rmb 1.89 in 2024 to Rmb 3.01 in 2027 [15] - **P/E Ratio**: Projected to be 15.6 in 2024, decreasing to 10.0 by 2027 [12] - **Dividend Yield**: Expected to increase from 1.9% in 2024 to 3.0% in 2027 [12] Conclusion - BYDE is navigating a challenging smartphone market with a strategic focus on expanding into higher-margin segments like automotive electronics and AI server components. The company faces significant risks from market dynamics but has opportunities for growth through its partnerships with leading brands like Apple. The revised target price and neutral rating reflect a cautious outlook amid these challenges.

Summary of Luxshare Precision Investor Day Company Overview - **Company**: Luxshare Precision (Ticker: 002475.SZ) - **Industry**: Technology Key Takeaways Revenue Growth Levers - Luxshare identified four main pillars for revenue growth in the coming years: 1. Apple's hardware assembly and components, including opportunities in edge AI 2. Revenue potential in non-Apple consumer electronics 3. Automotive component opportunities linked to the global expansion of Chinese carmakers 4. A comprehensive AI and communication product lineup [1][2][20] Consumer Electronics - The company is optimistic about the growth of edge AI devices, expecting various products like handsets, earbuds, and glasses to launch by 2026 [2] - Luxshare aims to leverage modular design and manufacturing to meet the demand for compact and high-precision devices [2] - The company currently holds a 6% market share in consumer devices and an 11% share in components as of 2024 [2] Memory Cost Inflation - Luxshare reported that key customers have not indicated reduced demand due to memory cost inflation, attributing this to long-term supply contracts [3] Component Capabilities - Luxshare showcased its hinge design capabilities, which improve the assembly process for foldable phones by reducing the number of sub-modules [4] Communication and AI - The company estimates a total addressable market (TAM) of USD 26.2 billion for copper interconnects, USD 18.3 billion for optical interconnects, USD 13.6 billion for thermal management, and USD 28.0 billion for power supply in 2025 [5] - Luxshare aims to be among the top three players in each sub-category within five years [5] Automotive Sector - Luxshare operates 57 factories across 13 countries and aims to become a top-five global auto tier-one supplier [13][14] - The pro-forma automotive revenue for 2024 is estimated at approximately EUR 7 billion, compared to ZF Group's EUR 28 billion [14] - The company is expanding its automotive product offerings, including connectors and intelligent controllers, and aims to become the largest Chinese automotive connector maker by 2027 [15] Smart Chassis Opportunities - Luxshare sees a significant market opportunity in smart chassis, currently estimated at CNY 600 billion, and aims for a 10% global market share [16] Robotics - The company has shipped around 3,000 robots in the first half of 2025 and is working on establishing in-house component production capabilities [19] Summary Thoughts - Luxshare's growth is expected to be driven primarily by edge AI devices and automotive business expansion, with a focus on integration and miniaturization [20] - The company is optimistic about its product breakthroughs for AI servers, although it may take time for these solutions to scale [20] Investment Rating - Luxshare has a "Buy" rating with a target price of CNY 84.3, based on a 30x 2026F EPS of CNY 2.81 [21]

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - **Event**: Taiwan Tech Tour held on August 19-21, focusing on AI and its impact on the technology sector [1] - **Key Themes**: - AI remains a central topic with discussions on Nvidia's B300 AI server ramp-up expected in Q3/Q4 2025 [1] - Transition to AI platforms and its potential impact in the second half of 2025 [1] - Tight supply of substrate raw materials affecting production [1] - Growth in supply chain content value anticipated from Rubin/Rubin Ultra platforms in 2026/27 [1] - Positive outlook for ASIC development into 2026 [1] - Increased R&D requirements driven by AI, with fewer suppliers expected to outperform [1] - Potential for CoWoP (Chip-on-Wafer-on-Package) technology, though challenges remain [1] Semiconductor and Equipment Insights - **Testing Interface**: Optimism expressed by testing-interface companies regarding AI GPU/accelerators demand due to a new product cycle expected in late 2025 [2] - **Wafer Sorting Complexity**: Increased complexity in wafer sorting and testing noted, with leading foundry suppliers likely to keep advanced packaging in-house [2] - **Inventory Levels**: Non-AI areas reported healthy inventory levels, with clients placing rush orders [2] Substrate and Material Supply - **Substrate Tightness**: General consensus on tightness in substrate raw materials, with larger clients less affected in the near term [3] - **CoWoP Technology**: Seen as a downgraded version of CoWoS, facing significant challenges before it can be scaled effectively [3] Hardware Supply Chain Developments - **Power Supply and Cooling**: Rising content value for power supply and cooling components highlighted, with Delta expecting server power demand to grow 35-40% YoY in 2025 [4] - **Liquid Cooling Trends**: Liquid-to-air cooling remains mainstream due to easier deployment compared to liquid-to-liquid cooling [4] - **HPC/AEC Business Growth**: BizLink anticipates content growth in HPC/AEC business, with upgrades in specifications and increased lengths for interconnects [4] Company-Specific Insights - **Delta Electronics**: - Q3 2025 sales expected to grow QoQ, with AI-related power supply and infrastructure as main drivers [12] - Anticipates liquid cooling to comprise 5-6% of total sales in 2025 [16] - **MPI Corporation**: - Plans to enter 2nm-based projects in 2026, maintaining a dominant market share in ASIC projects [13] - **Vanguard International Semiconductor**: - Expects a flat demand outlook from IT products into 2H25, with a focus on power-related products [13] - **Unimicron**: - Anticipates a significant uptick in AI-related shipments from Q4 2025, with supply constraints easing [13] - **Auras**: - Projects 35-40% YoY sales growth in 2025, with a focus on liquid cooling contributions [16] - **Lotes**: - Maintains a sales growth guidance of 13-17% YoY for 2025, with a focus on the auto business [16] Financial Outlook and Risks - **Delta Electronics Price Objective**: NT$750 based on a P/E of 29x for 2026E, justified by strong market position and growth in AI-related products [27] - **BizLink Price Objective**: NT$820 based on a P/E of 17x, reflecting expanding margins and macro uncertainties [24] - **Auras Price Objective**: NT$825 based on a P/E of 18x, driven by strong demand in the cooling component market [21] - **Risks**: Include potential softer demand in AI servers, macroeconomic uncertainties, and competition pressures [23][26][28] Conclusion The conference highlighted significant growth opportunities in the AI and semiconductor sectors, with companies like Delta, MPI, and Auras positioned to benefit from rising demand and technological advancements. However, challenges such as material supply constraints and competitive pressures remain critical considerations for investors.

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "BUY" rating for BYD Electronic with a target price of HKD 48.84, representing a potential upside of 22.6% from the current price of HKD 39.85 [6][17]. Core Insights - BYD Electronic's FY24 results showed a revenue growth of 36.4% to RMB 177.3 billion, while net profit increased by 5.5% to RMB 4,265 million, although net profit was approximately 6% below consensus due to lower than expected gross margin and higher costs [1][16]. - The company is expected to benefit from the increasing demand for generative AI smartphones, which is projected to drive a new replacement cycle in the smartphone market starting in 2024 [5][16]. - BYD Electronic's automotive intelligent segment revenue surged by 45.5% YoY to RMB 20.5 billion, indicating strong growth potential in the automotive sector [13][16]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - FY24 revenue reached RMB 177.3 billion, up 36.4% YoY, while net profit was RMB 4,265 million, a 5.5% increase YoY [1][21]. - Gross margin decreased by 1.1 percentage points YoY to 6.9%, below the consensus estimate of 7.6% [1][16]. Business Segments - The assembly and components segments experienced significant growth, with assembly service revenue increasing by 26% YoY and components revenue soaring 1.6x YoY to approximately RMB 35.6 billion [3][12]. - The IoT segment faced challenges, with revenue slipping YoY due to pressures in the energy storage business [2][11]. Market Trends - The global smartphone shipment grew approximately 2.4% YoY in 4Q24, with a notable 37% QoQ increase in shipments from US clients due to new flagship launches [1][3]. - Generative AI smartphones are expected to account for a significant portion of total smartphone shipments, with projections of 234 million units in 2024 and a CAGR of 100% from 2023 to 2027 [5][16]. Future Outlook - BYD Electronic anticipates continued revenue growth in the IoT and automotive segments, projecting revenue to exceed RMB 50 billion and RMB 65 billion by FY25E and FY26E, respectively [15][16]. - The company is focusing on diversifying its business strategy, which is expected to enhance sales and earnings visibility in the long run [16][17].