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Should You Buy, Hold or Sell USAR Stock Post Q3 Earnings?
ZACKS· 2025-11-12 17:45
Core Insights - USA Rare Earth Inc. (USAR) stock has increased by 5% following the release of its third-quarter 2025 results, despite reporting a net loss of $0.25 per share, which was wider than the Zacks Consensus Estimate of a loss of $0.06 per share [1][8] - The market's positive reaction is attributed to USAR's strategic initiatives, including the acquisition bid for Less Common Metals Ltd. (LCM) and the development of an integrated mine-to-magnet manufacturing operation [1][12] Financial Performance - USAR reported a net loss of $0.25 per share in Q3 2025, exceeding the expected loss of $0.06 per share [8] - The company has not generated any revenues since its inception and continues to incur operational losses [9] - Selling, general, and administrative expenses rose to $11.4 million in Q3 from $0.8 million in the same quarter last year, driven by increased legal, consulting, and recruitment costs [10] - Research and development expenses increased to $4.45 million from $1.16 million due to higher employee-related costs [10] - USAR ended Q3 with $258 million in cash and no significant debt, bolstered by a $125 million common equity investment [12] Strategic Developments - USAR's acquisition of LCM has received clearance from the UK Minister of State, with the deal expected to close in Q4 2025 [2][14] - The acquisition will enhance USAR's mine-to-magnet strategy, establishing a comprehensive rare earth supply chain [13] - The Stillwater, OK magnet manufacturing facility is on track for production in early 2026, with pilot-scale testing of swarf recycling underway [15] - USAR has signed agreements for the delivery of neo magnets and entered into a joint development agreement with ePropelled for sintered neo magnets [16] Market Position and Comparisons - Year-to-date, USAR shares have outperformed the Zacks Mining - Miscellaneous industry's growth of 25.2%, the Basic Materials sector's rise of 20.8%, and the S&P 500's gain of 18% [2] - However, USAR has underperformed compared to peers like MP Materials and Energy Fuels, which have seen stock increases of 297% and 205.7%, respectively [3] Future Outlook - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for USAR's earnings for 2025 is a loss of $0.65 per share, with a projected revenue of $31.5 million for 2026 as production is expected to commence [19][20] - Recent downward revisions in earnings estimates indicate that profitability may remain several years away [22] - The strategic moves position USAR as a potential key player in the U.S. rare earth supply chain, despite ongoing losses and lack of current revenues [23]
USA Rare Earth is Set to Report Q3 Earnings: Here's What to Expect
ZACKS· 2025-11-05 18:46
Core Insights - USA Rare Earth Inc. (USAR) is scheduled to report its third-quarter 2025 results on November 6, with a consensus estimate indicating a loss of six cents per share, which has improved by 40% over the past 60 days [1][7]. Financial Performance - The current consensus loss estimate for Q3 2025 is -0.06, unchanged from the previous week, but improved from -0.10 two months ago, reflecting a 40% upward revision [2]. - The company has a trailing four-quarter earnings surprise average of 38.46% [2]. Earnings Prediction - The earnings prediction model indicates a potential earnings beat for USAR, supported by an Earnings ESP of +81.82% and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) [3][4][7]. Operational Factors - USAR is developing a rare earth sintered neo magnet manufacturing plant in Stillwater, Oklahoma, expected to commence production in early 2026. The company holds mining rights to the Round Top Mountain deposit in Texas but has not yet started mineral extraction [5]. - The company has not generated any revenue since its inception and continues to incur operational losses [5]. Expense Overview - Selling, general and administrative expenses (SG&A) are anticipated to be higher due to increased consulting and legal costs. Research and development (R&D) expenses are also expected to rise due to higher consulting fees related to feasibility studies [6]. Market Performance - Year-to-date, USAR shares have increased by 42.4%, outperforming the industry growth of 27.6%, the Basic Materials sector's rise of 18.9%, and the S&P 500's increase of 18.1% [9].