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Bear of the Day: Trex Company (TREX)
ZACKS· 2026-01-02 12:15
Core Insights - Trex Company (TREX) is not anticipating a revenue recovery in 2025 due to weak remodeling demand [1] - Analysts predict a further decline in earnings for Trex in 2026, maintaining a Zacks Rank of 5 (Strong Sell) [1][7] Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, Trex reported earnings of $0.51, missing the Zacks Consensus estimate of $0.56, marking the first earnings miss in three years [2] - Sales increased by 22.1% to $285 million, driven by strong railing sales, although decking sales continue to struggle [2] - Analysts have revised down earnings estimates for 2025 from $2.21 to $1.83, reflecting a 12.4% decline, and for 2026 from $2.51 to $1.66, indicating a 9% decline [4] Market Conditions - The home remodeling industry is facing challenges, with weak market conditions persisting into 2026 [6] - Trex's forward P/E ratio stands at 19.4, which is considered high, indicating that the stock is not undervalued [12] - The company has authorized a $50 million share repurchase program, but does not pay dividends [12]