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Bear of the Day: Trex Company (TREX)
ZACKS· 2026-01-02 12:15
Core Insights - Trex Company (TREX) is not anticipating a revenue recovery in 2025 due to weak remodeling demand [1] - Analysts predict a further decline in earnings for Trex in 2026, maintaining a Zacks Rank of 5 (Strong Sell) [1][7] Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, Trex reported earnings of $0.51, missing the Zacks Consensus estimate of $0.56, marking the first earnings miss in three years [2] - Sales increased by 22.1% to $285 million, driven by strong railing sales, although decking sales continue to struggle [2] - Analysts have revised down earnings estimates for 2025 from $2.21 to $1.83, reflecting a 12.4% decline, and for 2026 from $2.51 to $1.66, indicating a 9% decline [4] Market Conditions - The home remodeling industry is facing challenges, with weak market conditions persisting into 2026 [6] - Trex's forward P/E ratio stands at 19.4, which is considered high, indicating that the stock is not undervalued [12] - The company has authorized a $50 million share repurchase program, but does not pay dividends [12]
James Hardie Industries plc (JHX) Fell Following the Results
Yahoo Finance· 2025-11-11 13:25
Core Insights - The Alger Spectra Fund's third-quarter 2025 investor letter indicates a strong performance in U.S. equity markets, with the S&P 500 Index rising by 8.12% due to improving economic conditions, solid corporate earnings, and expectations for monetary easing [1] - Class A shares of the Alger Spectra Fund outperformed the Russell 3000 Growth Index during the same period [1] Company Overview: James Hardie Industries plc - James Hardie Industries plc (NYSE:JHX) is a global leader in exterior building materials, particularly known for fiber-cement siding and related products across North America, APAC, and Europe [3] - The company offers a diverse portfolio that includes siding, decking, railing, and pergolas [3] Recent Performance and Market Sentiment - James Hardie Industries plc experienced a one-month return of -22.36% and a 52-week loss of 45.27%, with shares closing at $17.40 on November 10, 2025, and a market capitalization of $10.079 billion [2] - The decline in shares was attributed to disappointing fiscal first-quarter results and a cautious outlook from management, highlighting softer housing demand and elevated channel inventories [3] Hedge Fund Interest - As of the end of the second quarter, 32 hedge fund portfolios held shares of James Hardie Industries plc, an increase from 12 in the previous quarter [4] - Despite the potential of James Hardie Industries plc as an investment, some analysts suggest that certain AI stocks may offer greater upside potential with less downside risk [4]