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Here's Why Biotech ETFs Are Rallying Hard
ZACKS· 2026-01-09 16:01
Core Insights - Biotech stocks have experienced a significant rally into 2026, driven by positive clinical data, attractive valuations, an easy money policy, and favorable macroeconomic conditions [1][9] - The iShares Biotechnology ETF (IBB) has outperformed the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY), with a 36.7% increase over six months ending January 7, 2026, compared to SPY's 11.2% [1] - Year-to-date performance shows IBB rising 4.2% while SPY has gained only 0.6% [1] Performance Metrics - IBB has surged 31.1% over the past year as of January 7, 2026, marking a significant turnaround from muted returns of 3.74% in 2024 and 0.97% in 2023 for the MSCI USA Pharmaceuticals, Biotechnology and Life Sciences Index [2] - The Biomedical and Genetics industry has returned 11.7% over the past three months, outperforming the S&P 500's 3.3% [3] Factors Driving the Rally - Biotech stocks are trading at decent valuations, with the MSCI USA Pharmaceuticals, Biotechnology and Life Sciences Index at a forward P/E of 24.36X compared to the broader MSCI USA index at 27.81X as of December 31, 2025 [5] - The PEG ratio for the Biomedical and Genetics industry stands at 1.54X, lower than the S&P 500's 2.06X, with projected EPS growth of 12.14% versus 9.15% for the S&P 500 [5] - The Federal Reserve's three rate cuts in 2025 have created a favorable environment for biotech companies, which typically benefit from lower funding costs [6] Clinical and Regulatory Developments - The FDA approved numerous biotechnology drugs in 2025, including dordaviprone and sunvozertinib, contributing to positive market sentiment [7][8] - A total of 46 drug approvals were recorded in 2025, following 50 in 2024 and about 55 in 2023, with ongoing positive drug trial results boosting stock momentum [8] M&A and Capital Market Activity - Deal volume in the biotech sector reached nearly 70 in 2025, the highest in a decade, driven by Big Pharma's patent cliff needs [11] - Follow-on offerings totaled $10 billion in Q4 2025, the strongest in nearly two years, indicating a revival in capital markets [11] - Biopharma venture investment reached $5.8 billion across 86 rounds in Q3 2025, bringing the year-to-date total to $17.1 billion [11][12] Biotech ETFs - Key biotech ETFs such as Tema Oncology ETF (CANC), S&P Biotech SPDR (XBI), Genomics Immunology and Health ETF (IDNA), and IBB are performing well, hovering around one-year highs [13]
Inside the Recent Strength in Biotech ETFs
ZACKS· 2025-11-21 14:01
Core Insights - The iShares Biotechnology ETF (IBB) has experienced a significant rally of approximately 35% over the past six months, outperforming the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY), which increased by 12% during the same period [1] - The performance of the biotechnology sector marks a notable turnaround in 2025, contrasting with muted returns of 3.74% in 2024 and 0.97% in 2023 for the MSCI USA Pharmaceuticals, Biotechnology and Life Sciences Index [2] Performance Metrics - The Biomedical and Genetics industry has yielded returns of 12.7% and 6.8% over the past three and one-month periods, respectively, surpassing the S&P 500's performance of 3.9% over three months and a loss of 0.3% over the past month [3] Factors Driving the Rally - Biotech stocks are currently trading at cheaper valuations compared to the broader market, with the MSCI USA Pharmaceuticals, Biotechnology and Life Sciences Index at a forward P/E of 15.92X versus 23.25X for the MSCI USA index as of September 30, 2025 [5] - The Biomedical and Genetics industry has a forward P/E of 18.15X compared to the S&P 500's 19.43X, with a PEG ratio of 1.59X versus 2.17X for the S&P 500, and projected EPS growth of 22.38% compared to 7.33% for the S&P 500 [6] - Hopes for further Federal Reserve rate cuts are contributing to the rally, as biotech companies typically benefit from lower funding costs in a falling rate environment [7] - Recent regulatory developments, including Pfizer's agreement with the U.S. government to lower drug prices and invest $70 billion in the U.S., signal potential relief for the pharmaceutical industry [8][9] FDA Approvals - The FDA has approved numerous biotechnology drugs in 2025, including dordaviprone, sunvozertinib, and linvoseltamab-gcpt, with a total of 38 approvals recorded so far, following 50 in 2024 and about 55 in 2023 [10] Investment Activity - Biopharma venture investment reached $5.8 billion across 86 rounds in Q3 2025, totaling $17.1 billion year-to-date, with biopharma licensing valued at $63.7 billion in Q3 and $183.7 billion year-to-date [12] ETF Focus - Several biotech ETFs, including Invesco Biotechnology & Genome ETF (PBE), First Trust NYSE Arca Biotechnology ETF (FBT), Tema Oncology ETF (CANC), and Franklin Genomic Advancements ETF (HELX), are currently performing well, hovering around a one-month high [13]