Company Overview - lululemon athletica inc. is based in Vancouver, Canada, and specializes in designing, distributing, and retailing technical athletic apparel, footwear, and accessories for both women and men under the lululemon brand. The company has a market capitalization of $20.7 billion [1]. Performance Analysis - Over the past 52 weeks, lululemon has significantly underperformed the broader market, with its shares declining by 54.9%, while the S&P 500 Index increased by 11.8%. Year-to-date, the stock is down 15.1%, contrasting with a slight drop in the S&P 500 [2]. - The company has also lagged behind the Amplify Online Retail ETF, which saw a decrease of 12.3% over the past 52 weeks and 13.9% year-to-date [3]. Recent Financial Results - On December 11, lululemon reported better-than-expected Q3 results, with shares surging by 9.6% in the following trading session. The company's total revenue rose by 7.1% year-over-year to $2.6 billion, exceeding Wall Street expectations by 3.6%. However, earnings per share (EPS) declined by 9.8% from the previous year to $2.59, although it surpassed analyst expectations of $2.22 [4]. Earnings Forecast - For the current fiscal year ending in January, analysts project lululemon's EPS to decline by 10.8% year-over-year to $13.06. The company has a strong earnings surprise history, having exceeded consensus estimates in each of the last four quarters [5]. Analyst Ratings - Among the 31 analysts covering lululemon, the consensus rating is a "Hold," which includes two "Strong Buy," 26 "Hold," one "Moderate Sell," and two "Strong Sell" ratings [5]. - The configuration of ratings has slightly shifted, with three analysts now suggesting a "Strong Buy" rating. JPMorgan Chase & Co. maintained a "Neutral" rating and raised its price target to $209, indicating an 18.5% potential upside from current levels [6]. - The mean price target of $210.58 represents a 19.4% premium to current price levels, while the highest price target of $320 suggests an ambitious 81.4% potential upside [7].

Core Viewpoint - Lululemon Athletica Inc. (NASDAQ:LULU) is projected to double by 2030, with recent price target adjustments from JPMorgan and Deutsche Bank indicating positive market sentiment towards the stock [1][2]. Group 1: Price Target Adjustments - JPMorgan raised its price target for Lululemon to $209 from $203 while maintaining a Neutral rating after a meeting with the company's VP of Investor Relations [1]. - Deutsche Bank restarted coverage of Lululemon with a Hold rating and set a price target of $228, reflecting a cautious but optimistic outlook [2]. Group 2: Earnings Projections - Following the ICR Conference, JPMorgan increased its Q4 2025 EPS estimate and is projecting FY 2026 EPS at $12.33, slightly below Wall Street's estimate of $12.65 [1]. Group 3: Market Environment - Deutsche Bank anticipates a volatile but broadly risk-on macro environment for 2026, expecting solid revenue trends in the first half of the year due to favorable weather comparisons and increased tax refunds [3]. Group 4: Company Overview - Lululemon Athletica Inc. designs, distributes, and retails technical athletic apparel, footwear, and accessories for both women and men under the lululemon brand on an international scale [4].

Core Thesis - Lululemon Athletica Inc. is viewed positively despite a significant decline in share price, with a current trading price of $184.18 and trailing and forward P/E ratios of 12.57 and 13.72 respectively [1][2] Financial Performance - The company has experienced a decline of 65% from peak valuations, yet it maintains strong fundamentals with revenue growth from $0.1 billion in 2007 to $10.9 billion LTM, alongside gross margins of 59% and operating margins of 23% [2][3] Market Position and Strategy - Lululemon differentiates itself through global brand strength, a community-driven model, and product innovation, competing effectively against major players like Nike and Adidas [3] - The company's diversification across physical stores, e-commerce, and interactive fitness, along with a broadening product portfolio, provides multiple avenues for recovery [4] Growth Opportunities - International markets, especially China and Europe, present significant growth potential, while the underpenetrated men's segment and early-stage footwear line offer multi-year expansion opportunities [4] Risks and Resilience - Near-term risks include elevated inventory levels of $1.7 billion and slower inventory turns, which have contributed to negative sentiment and a valuation reset [5] - Despite these challenges, the company generates strong cash flow of $1.9 billion from operations and has a clean balance sheet, which provides downside protection [5] Future Outlook - If inventory normalizes and growth accelerates through international expansion and product category diversification, there is potential for a significant re-rating of the stock, with upside estimates ranging from 50% to 150% [6] - The current selloff is seen as excessive pessimism relative to Lululemon's structural strengths, presenting an attractive entry point for long-term investors willing to navigate near-term volatility [6]

Company Overview - lululemon athletica inc. has a market cap of $21.5 billion and specializes in designing, distributing, and retailing technical athletic apparel, footwear, and accessories for both women and men under the lululemon brand [1] Upcoming Earnings - The company is set to announce its fiscal Q3 2025 results soon, with analysts expecting an EPS of $2.22, which represents a 22.7% decline from $2.87 in the same quarter last year [2] - For fiscal 2025, analysts project an EPS of $12.90, down 11.9% from $14.64 in fiscal 2024, but anticipate a slight recovery with an EPS of $13.05 in fiscal 2026, reflecting a 1.2% year-over-year increase [3] Stock Performance - Shares of lululemon athletica have decreased by 42.5% over the past 52 weeks, significantly underperforming the S&P 500 Index's return of 18.1% and the Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund's increase of 19.9% during the same period [4] Recent Financial Results - Despite reporting a better-than-expected Q2 2025 EPS of $3.10, shares plunged 18.6% the following day. The company revised its annual revenue forecast to between $10.85 billion and $11.0 billion and adjusted EPS guidance to $12.77 - $12.97, citing weak U.S. sales, product missteps, and an anticipated $240 million impact from tariffs on gross profit [5] Analyst Ratings - The consensus view among analysts on LULU stock is cautious, with an overall "Hold" rating. Out of 31 analysts, three recommend "Strong Buy," 24 suggest "Hold," two advise "Moderate Sell," and two give "Strong Sell." The average analyst price target for lululemon athletica is $189.42, indicating a potential upside of 7.2% from current levels [6]

Core Insights - Lululemon Athletica Inc. is experiencing slower growth in China, prompting BofA to lower its price target from $210 to $185 while maintaining a Neutral rating [1] - The company reported FQ2 2026 net revenue of $2.5 billion, a 7% year-over-year increase, but fell short of guidance, leading to reduced full-year revenue expectations [2][3] - Updated full-year revenue guidance is now between $10.85 billion and $11 billion, reflecting a growth of 2% to 4% compared to 2024 [2] Financial Performance - For Q2, Lululemon's gross profit was $1.48 billion, representing 58.5% of net revenue, with operating income around $524 million or 20.7% of net revenue [3] - Net income for the quarter was $371 million, resulting in an EPS of $3.10 per diluted share [3] - Comparable sales increased by 1%, with a 3% sales increase in the store channel and 14 new stores opened, bringing the total to 784 [3] Revenue Channels - Digital channel revenue grew by 9%, contributing $1 billion to total revenue [3]