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Centuri Holdings, Inc. (CTRI): A Bull Case Theory
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-23 00:05
Core Thesis - Centuri Holdings, Inc. is positioned to capitalize on growing power demand in North America following its spin-off from Southwest Gas Holdings, with a current share price of $20.19 and a forward P/E of 20.49 [1][2] Company Overview - Centuri Holdings is an infrastructure services company that provides maintenance, upgrades, and buildouts for electric and gas utilities, servicing over 400 customers, including major utilities like American Electric Power and Entergy [2][3] - The company operates under long-term master service agreements (MSAs) that account for 80% of its revenue, supplemented by bid contracts, which provides substantial flexibility and reduces exposure to cost overruns [3][4] Market Position and Growth Drivers - Centuri operates through four segments: US Gas, Canadian Gas, Union Electric, and Non-Union Electric, with US Gas being the largest revenue contributor and Canadian Gas delivering the highest margins [3] - Growth is expected to be driven by grid modernization, electrification, renewable energy, and the expansion of data centers, with U.S. capacity projected to rise from 56GW in 2024 to 122GW by 2030 [3] - Reindustrialization under new trade agreements is projected to increase power demand by 2.5–3% annually through 2035, expanding Centuri's addressable market [3] Financial Metrics and Opportunities - As of Q2 2025, Centuri had a backlog of $5.3 billion, supported by strong new order flow and a book-to-bill ratio of 2.3x, indicating high-margin opportunities ahead [4] - The company has $14 billion in pipeline opportunities and $200 billion identified across 20 customers over five years, positioning it to optimize margins, particularly in US Gas [4] - Centuri's resilient MSA structure, diversified customer base, and favorable market trends make it a compelling investment with multiple catalysts for long-term upside [4]